TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$441,910
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$495,586

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $441,910 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 651 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa080…234fbacked No40c57,689$23,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,252.515950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Yes61c43,622$26,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,198.8312254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f27…6d66backed Yes60c39,794$23,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,002.831190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick62cpaid+48%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x20b9…4affbacked No39c26,955$10,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,512.384040%16 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6764…49c4backed No42c23,122$9,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,780.281233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No39c22,222$8,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,666.4721836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes60c19,098$11,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,593.411,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked No40c18,078$7,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,231.216357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x026f…4614backed Yes58c15,169$8,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,312.163351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Yes59c13,650$8,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,596.56758.2%39 W · 28 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No40c12,800$5,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,12014139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e1…34a5backed No41c11,783$4,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,816.916633.3%22 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No39c11,480$4,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,494.784,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No41c10,308$4,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,228.7437959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No40c10,156$4,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,062.4536250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Yes58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.995349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.9774447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No41c9,572$3,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,900.5746464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes60c9,414$5,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,757.428,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes61c8,000$4,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,147.9925038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked Yes60c7,603$4,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,041.1813163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes58c6,892$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,891.7512616.7%21 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No40c6,696$2,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,697.742,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No41c6,013$2,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,491.7334357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Yes59c5,961$3,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,443.915729.8%17 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No40c5,827$2,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,347.012,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b79…b1bebacked Yes70c5,624$3,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.0620245.5%92 W · 110 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes60c4,881$2,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.5430214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes57c4,721$2,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.847034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked No39c4,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.9911343.4%49 W · 64 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No40c3,600$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.9511256.3%63 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Yes61c3,543$2,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.7610051%51 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cb4…00eabacked Yes59c3,390$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.91687.5%14 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick64cpaid+38.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No40c3,333$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.214325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20047032.8%154 W · 316 L-0.7wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x442f…e7a2backed Yes57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29011038.2%42 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa461…833fbacked Yes56c2,862$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.753740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x238c…57b1backed Yes61c2,669$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.065356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e58…5749backed Yes57c2,633$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.274261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes61c2,623$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.941,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Yes61c2,459$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.0213454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac97…0c75backed Yes70c2,257$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.7616042.5%68 W · 92 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked Yes58c2,222$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.245356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked No42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84018248.9%89 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.9540343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c8…7cc8backed No43c1,960$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.812241%50 W · 72 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ee6…07cabacked Yes59c1,857$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.265650%28 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes60c1,741$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.2722448.2%108 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25f3…3ffebacked Yes60c1,656$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.026443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a0…faaabacked Yes61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.342860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Yes57c1,639$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.8119125.1%48 W · 143 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x271e…f001backed No42c1,633$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.8612344.7%55 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3e4…26e9backed Yes60c1,627$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.654634.8%16 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed No40c1,617$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6507950.6%40 W · 39 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No43c1,580$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.831,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No39c1,516$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.5734330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Yes59c1,500$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62013447.8%64 W · 70 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc499…f793backed Yes59c1,463$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.447843.6%34 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed No38c1,458$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.9411440.4%46 W · 68 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes59c1,373$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.821,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34ec…f538backed No41c1,341$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5505137.3%19 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No39c1,332$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.711,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked No40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5eb…9120backed No40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2c1…a09ebacked Yes59c1,250$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.57444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde24…ed26backed Yes60c1,243$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.172748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No38c1,200$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45033350.5%168 W · 165 L+24.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes61c1,165$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.1627820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Yes60c1,100$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa668…f0f1backed Yes60c1,068$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.254337.2%16 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9c8…1e91backed Yes62c1,048$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.367028.6%20 W · 50 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd2ef…a9e7backed Yes61c1,023$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.96520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-67.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae4…273ebacked Yes60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4009354.8%51 W · 42 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked No42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4208151.9%42 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Yes59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41011642.2%49 W · 67 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed No42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42012945%58 W · 71 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39018929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeaa…95d6backed Yes59c999.99$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4104932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x705e…22fdbacked No42c979.47$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.381127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73c2…3a29backed Yes61c957.31$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.356747.8%32 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes57c900$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38769826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked No12c900$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10811216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked No2c890.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7598134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No39c881.41$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.7559752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes59c850$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.511165.8%73 W · 38 L+15.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7020…fd20backed Yes60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.334560%27 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e41…3745backed Yes60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.336338.1%24 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2393…1a8dbacked Yes60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.333745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e8…21cfbacked Yes61c820.06$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.062748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6724539.6%97 W · 148 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.679845.9%45 W · 53 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddec…0015backed No40c799.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.992733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No40c777$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.811444.7%51 W · 63 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked No40c770.95$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.388652.3%45 W · 41 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb28…3694backed Yes54c749.97$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4817950.3%90 W · 89 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes57c725.69$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.057412.2%9 W · 65 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No41c712.67$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.682,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…5ec8backed Yes60c690$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2798320.5%17 W · 66 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-31.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed Yes59c677.97$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.978254.9%45 W · 37 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes60c666.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.6727433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 49 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.