TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa668…f0f1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Fed Rates at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT4337.2%16 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.92
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$270.37
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.75
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$292.64
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$362.68
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$156.12
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$694Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$693.68
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.06
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$172.74
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$57.45
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+2.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$103.4
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.15
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.14
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$91.94
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.9
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$90.7
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+138.9%+$169.3
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.88
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.62
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$118.14
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$42.78
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$79.21
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.82
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.9
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$408.92
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$103.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+55.8%+$264.12
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$301.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$63.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,111.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.