TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$222,454
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$224,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,454 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x85f0…3f67backed Yes40c49,765$19,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,905.997346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Yes41c41,300$16,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,878.695119.6%10 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No60c26,365$15,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,573.353448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed No60c20,000$11,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,099.9624058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No59c19,999$11,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,199.3913163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No60c18,475$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,474.7374447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb7…3cd4backed Yes41c14,634$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0007035.7%25 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed No60c12,600$7,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0409551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No63c10,456$6,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,867.094,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1002,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc902…cd14backed No59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,099.971145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes40c9,442$3,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,776.830214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No60c8,856$5,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,575.722,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No59c6,744$3,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,747.537959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No60c5,972$3,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,388.834357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No59c5,375$3,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,203.7520731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked No59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0509440.4%38 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No59c4,000$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,64019148.2%92 W · 99 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed Yes72c3,999$2,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,893.78048.8%39 W · 41 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No59c3,829$2,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.0632765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes18c3,423$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.841,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed Yes41c2,862$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.372227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No50c2,719$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.272,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No60c2,666$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.5134249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Yes77c2,428$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.4812737%47 W · 80 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No41c2,352$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.542,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Yes48c2,340$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.8214856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes42c2,237$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.8717636.4%64 W · 112 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca4e…f97ebacked No57c2,228$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.81837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No60c2,068$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.21,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc490…b6debacked Yes40c1,996$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.41040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked No60c1,844$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.448652.3%45 W · 41 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No17c1,799$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.4785550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No69c1,787$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.2511256.3%63 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf17a…fa3abacked No60c1,750$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70016260.5%98 W · 64 L+22.3wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x826e…2bebbacked Yes40c1,515$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.06475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b8…3f4ebacked No59c1,498$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.536162.3%38 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No36c1,367$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.432,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No61c1,316$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.7239951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No59c1,290$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.7931171.4%222 W · 89 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes40c1,252$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.583,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb76a…9ac8backed Yes40c1,234$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.073920.5%8 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed Yes41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014546.9%68 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8089…f935backed No59c1,200$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4923327.3%9 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes77c1,110$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.4824732.4%80 W · 167 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes40c1,096$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.9236123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No69c1,076$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.5818848.9%92 W · 96 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed No60c1,053$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.2236350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No79c1,047$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.651,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No59c1,040$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.3897742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Yes40c1,040$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.817650%88 W · 88 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41021957.5%126 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009330.1%28 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed No61c1,000$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.523251.7%120 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No59c999.88$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.951,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Yes41c975.61$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014523.4%34 W · 111 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d45…db69backed Yes41c975.61$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No59c973$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.212,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes41c970.84$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.158,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x482d…0487backed Yes37c962.49$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.333735.1%13 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes40c918.73$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.433,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed No60c875$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35014945%67 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0931…e78ebacked Yes41c853.66$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010050%50 W · 50 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed No60c835$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3346541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No60c830$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.141,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No60c772$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.846464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30036247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb045…a264backed Yes40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes40c741.35$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.5427820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe48d…a64dbacked Yes41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ed…e3bfbacked No60c698$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.24057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cab…f595backed No67c690.34$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.347065.7%46 W · 24 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1653…0348backed Yes41c634.15$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fda…7c1fbacked Yes48c628.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes40c625$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25025532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7020…fd20backed Yes41c609.76$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504560%27 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No60c601.56$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.6225454.7%139 W · 115 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes72c600$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.614427.8%40 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No39c594.75$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.172,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Yes37c543.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023544.7%105 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes40c519$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.634751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes40c503$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.245421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19535229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15c2…345abacked Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008742.5%37 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7881…0ab3backed Yes41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006725.4%17 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-31.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3082…4a18backed Yes40c486.38$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.5510451%53 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5427…bb86backed Yes74c484.88$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.396543.1%28 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…f666backed Yes41c451.22$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1859530.5%29 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes13c406.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9418843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cec…4043backed No61c401.64$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.641747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20e8…7ba4backed Yes31c386.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7560%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce61…8ef6backed Yes38c377.77$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14415742.7%67 W · 90 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Yes40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No45c374.03$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.891,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa95e…11f6backed Yes54c369.18$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003324.2%8 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e41…3745backed Yes41c365.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506338.1%24 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Yes41c343$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.6310729%31 W · 76 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x955c…a075backed Yes30c337.07$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.126137.7%23 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cd…7565backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007425.7%19 W · 55 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba60…e910backed Yes30c332.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.