Fifa International · resolved market
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ab2e5ab82f751ac4651e44dda203e3c7f9ae3c8116e343cbf7979ba274a32e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $222,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 40c | 49,765$19,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,905.99 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 41c | 41,300$16,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,878.69 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 60c | 26,365$15,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,573.3 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed No | 60c | 20,000$11,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,099.96 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked No | 59c | 19,999$11,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,199.39 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 60c | 18,475$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,474.73 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…3cd4backed Yes | 41c | 14,634$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…9f80backed No | 60c | 12,600$7,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 63c | 10,456$6,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,867.09 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc902…cd14backed No | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 40c | 9,442$3,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,776.8 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 60c | 8,856$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575.72 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 59c | 6,744$3,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747.5 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 60c | 5,972$3,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.8 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 59c | 5,375$3,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.75 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked No | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed No | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed Yes | 72c | 3,999$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.7 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 59c | 3,829$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.06 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 18c | 3,423$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.84 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed Yes | 41c | 2,862$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.37 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 50c | 2,719$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.27 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 60c | 2,666$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.51 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Yes | 77c | 2,428$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.48 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 41c | 2,352$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.54 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed Yes | 48c | 2,340$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.82 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +20.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 42c | 2,237$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.87 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked No | 57c | 2,228$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 60c | 2,068$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.2 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…b6debacked Yes | 40c | 1,996$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…808ebacked No | 60c | 1,844$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.44 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 17c | 1,799$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.47 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No | 69c | 1,787$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.25 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…fa3abacked No | 60c | 1,750$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 162 | 60.5%98 W · 64 L | +22.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x826e…2bebbacked Yes | 40c | 1,515$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b8…3f4ebacked No | 59c | 1,498$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.53 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 36c | 1,367$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.43 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 61c | 1,316$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.72 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 59c | 1,290$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.79 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 40c | 1,252$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.58 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb76a…9ac8backed Yes | 40c | 1,234$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.07 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…d996backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…f935backed No | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 77c | 1,110$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.48 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 40c | 1,096$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.92 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 69c | 1,076$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.58 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 60c | 1,053$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.22 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 79c | 1,047$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.65 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 59c | 1,040$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.38 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Yes | 40c | 1,040$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.8 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed No | 61c | 1,000$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.5 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 59c | 999.88$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.95 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…73e7backed Yes | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 145 | 23.4%34 W · 111 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d45…db69backed Yes | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 59c | 973$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.21 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 970.84$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.15 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…0487backed Yes | 37c | 962.49$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.33 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 40c | 918.73$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.43 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 60c | 875$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…e78ebacked Yes | 41c | 853.66$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed No | 60c | 835$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 60c | 830$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.14 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 60c | 772$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.8 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb045…a264backed Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 40c | 741.35$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.54 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48d…a64dbacked Yes | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ed…e3bfbacked No | 60c | 698$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.2 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed No | 67c | 690.34$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.34 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1653…0348backed Yes | 41c | 634.15$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fda…7c1fbacked Yes | 48c | 628.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…fd20backed Yes | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 60c | 601.56$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.62 | 254 | 54.7%139 W · 115 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 72c | 600$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.6 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 39c | 594.75$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.17 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 37c | 543.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes | 40c | 519$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.6 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | +19.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 40c | 503$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.2 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15c2…345abacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7881…0ab3backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3082…4a18backed Yes | 40c | 486.38$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.55 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…bb86backed Yes | 74c | 484.88$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.39 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…f666backed Yes | 41c | 451.22$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Yes | 13c | 406.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cec…4043backed No | 61c | 401.64$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.64 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e8…7ba4backed Yes | 31c | 386.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…8ef6backed Yes | 38c | 377.77$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 45c | 374.03$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.89 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa95e…11f6backed Yes | 54c | 369.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e41…3745backed Yes | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked Yes | 41c | 343$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.63 | 107 | 29%31 W · 76 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…a075backed Yes | 30c | 337.07$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…7565backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba60…e910backed Yes | 30c | 332.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals + assistsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ assistsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ shotsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ assistsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ goalsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ shotsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ shotsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ shotsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ shotsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 4+ shotsYes won
- Igor Thiago: 1+ goalsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 1+ assistsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 1+ goalsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 1+ shotsYes won
- Matheus Cunha: 2+ goalsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 3+ goalsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 3+ shotsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Raphinha: 1+ goalsNo won
- Raphinha: 2+ goalsNo won
- Raphinha: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ assistsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shotsYes won
- Vinícius Júnior: 2+ assistsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goalsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goalsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shotsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.