TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,624
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,622

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,624 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes13c1,538$200 inLost-$20027820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5044…f67fbacked Yes14c999.99$140 inLost-$1406031.7%19 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe24e…350cbacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost-$10012529.6%37 W · 88 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6e2…bd11backed Yes14c542.43$76 inLost-$75.946439.1%25 W · 39 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x95c6…ce8abacked Yes17c485.67$83 inLost-$83.21728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+44.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9622…c630backed Yes14c349.72$50 inLost-$504334.9%15 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b01…e682backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost-$201040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ba…bd7ebacked Yes14c142.86$20 inLost-$205020%10 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcecf…78b2backed Yes13c130.77$17 inLost-$175740.4%23 W · 34 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba6c…08ebbacked Yes14c124.99$17 inLost-$17.53228.1%9 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81ba…a1e4backed Yes13c115.38$15 inLost-$153542.9%15 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+0.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd039…d5f0backed Yes14c107.14$15 inLost-$152733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c23…0266backed Yes13c100$13 inLost-$1310630.2%32 W · 74 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8150…f3acbacked Yes12c90$11 inLost-$10.86144.3%27 W · 34 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c7a…296bbacked Yes14c80$11 inLost-$11.29447.9%45 W · 49 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.