TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Vinícius Júnior: 1+ assists

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,427
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,427 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No74c2,332$1,726 inWon+$606.4234357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes26c961.54$250 inLost-$25027820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes26c500$130 inLost-$13035229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe0e…ddb2backed Yes26c264.81$69 inLost-$68.85714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x091e…aec7backed Yes26c193.69$50 inLost-$502326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No76c161.04$123 inWon+$38.212,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes23c154.93$35 inLost-$34.963,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked No77c135.85$105 inWon+$30.9913956.8%79 W · 60 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8855…83adbacked Yes25c120.1$30 inLost-$29.83020%6 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes15c97.92$15 inLost-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes23c89.98$21 inLost-$20.938,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No73c82.44$60 inWon+$22.632,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No75c68.96$52 inWon+$172,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbfb…550cbacked Yes26c57.69$15 inLost-$1516839.9%67 W · 101 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c2c…88c6backed Yes26c57.69$15 inLost-$1518562.2%115 W · 70 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes26c52.96$14 inLost-$13.771,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97a8…1f05backed Yes29c51.72$15 inLost-$151822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked No77c45.93$35 inWon+$10.4637747.7%180 W · 197 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No70c33.33$23 inWon+$102,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No73c22.22$16 inWon+$628873.3%211 W · 77 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8704…566cbacked No75c20$15 inWon+$56584.6%55 W · 10 L+11.4wins+0.18per pick67cpaid+29%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.