Fifa International · resolved market
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a9dac38f49674cc5f27bbca3d0972e27f08179ef58e5f0d46ec01a09c796438
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd49f…4507backed Yes | 11c | 37,514$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 122 | 10.7%13 W · 109 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 10c | 8,477$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.7 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76a…9ac8backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.25 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…8c97backed Yes | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 161 | 23.6%38 W · 123 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 11c | 2,364$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.51 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ea…4949backed Yes | 10c | 1,712$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.18 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…2983backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6946…ee08backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +108%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 11c | 396.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc67…2859backed Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 345.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Yes | 11c | 333$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 11c | 292.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8134…04d3backed Yes | 9c | 267.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba7…6a1ebacked Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…77f0backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…b31cbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…be19backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 323 | 12.1%39 W · 284 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d34…dca1backed Yes | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee70…c0cdbacked Yes | 11c | 198$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f7fbacked Yes | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ec…b074backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70e2…5c64backed Yes | 10c | 148.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2e39backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 65.7%67 W · 35 L | +11.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e14…fd73backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b01…e682backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd520…0c5fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…bf3bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…6924backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…09fabacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…9d8fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeab…6228backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…ed34backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…2c46backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 21.3%17 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…3c02backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f3…975cbacked No | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 71c | 14.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goalsthis page
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals + assistsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ assistsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ shotsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ assistsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ goalsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ shotsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ shotsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ shotsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ shotsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 4+ shotsYes won
- Igor Thiago: 1+ goalsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 1+ assistsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 1+ goalsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 1+ shotsYes won
- Matheus Cunha: 2+ goalsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 3+ goalsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 3+ shotsNo won
- Matheus Cunha: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Raphinha: 1+ goalsNo won
- Raphinha: 2+ goalsNo won
- Raphinha: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ assistsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shotsYes won
- Vinícius Júnior: 2+ assistsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goalsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shotsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.