Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb374178f3147ecbb90db9253397405f0e444db0f4b6a52c0f8cd7e51dcdeec88

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $304,085
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $339,608

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,085 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 568 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9032…8717backed No	61c	56,341$34,497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,497.18	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes	45c	33,546$15,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,546.03	324	29.9%97 W · 227 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb7…3cd4backed Yes	42c	21,429$9,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,428.57	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-31%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	57c	21,029$11,954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,954.01	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No	56c	18,347$10,242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,241.67	327	65.7%215 W · 112 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No	56c	12,222$6,844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,844.07	131	63.4%83 W · 48 L	+8.1wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked No	65c	11,600$7,585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,584.56	127	37%47 W · 80 L	-9.9wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes	43c	10,653$4,581 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,071.93	113	48.7%55 W · 58 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Yes	44c	10,238$4,505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,733.02	234	27.8%65 W · 169 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed No	56c	10,000$5,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,600	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No	55c	10,000$5,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,499.93	148	60.1%89 W · 59 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	56c	8,018$4,521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,520.81	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No	55c	7,807$4,322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,321.92	379	59.1%224 W · 155 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No	55c	7,110$3,926 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,925.87	342	49.1%168 W · 174 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Yes	26c	6,488$1,705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,782.76	158	43%68 W · 90 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	44c	5,775$2,516 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,259.16	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No	56c	5,394$3,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,020.56	207	31.4%65 W · 142 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe4d4…2983backed Yes	45c	5,207$2,324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,882.94	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	57c	4,997$2,848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,848.06	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	47c	4,732$2,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,222.48	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab63…8f4bbacked Yes	44c	4,545$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,545.45	126	34.9%44 W · 82 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed No	75c	3,942$2,968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,967.7	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked No	55c	3,850$2,118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,117.5	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x324a…f1a1backed Yes	29c	3,770$1,078 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,692.23	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	+4.4wins	+0.11per pick	35cpaid	+47.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No	70c	3,747$2,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,634.68	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes	37c	3,485$1,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,202.14	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a79…b1a8backed Yes	44c	3,409$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,909.09	77	29.9%23 W · 54 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-32%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked No	57c	3,282$1,871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,870.74	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8dae…fff9backed Yes	45c	3,029$1,363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,665.89	66	31.8%21 W · 45 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x442f…e7a2backed Yes	46c	3,000$1,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,620	110	38.2%42 W · 68 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes	28c	2,496$688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,808.48	188	43.1%81 W · 107 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x580e…38cdbacked Yes	42c	2,381$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,380.95	167	39.5%66 W · 101 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73a6…6520backed Yes	43c	2,326$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,325.58	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3e4…26e9backed Yes	43c	2,325$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,325.24	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	38c	2,312$872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$871.65	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked No	57c	2,300$1,311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,311	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-24%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Yes	42c	2,295$962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,333.53	232	40.5%94 W · 138 L	-11.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes	43c	2,250$976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,274	432	48.4%209 W · 223 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf17a…fa3abacked No	57c	2,250$1,282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,282.49	162	60.5%98 W · 64 L	+22.3wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+29%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No	55c	2,250$1,237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,237.48	333	50.5%168 W · 165 L	+24.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Yes	42c	2,100$882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,218	120	47.5%57 W · 63 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43bb…26dbbacked Yes	35c	2,000$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,310	47	59.6%28 W · 19 L	+10.1wins	+0.22per pick	38cpaid	+70.6%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes	44c	2,000$880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,120	189	29.1%55 W · 134 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	56c	2,000$1,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,119.97	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked No	57c	1,922$1,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,093.3	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes	44c	1,788$790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$998.38	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x928b…ccf4backed No	57c	1,756$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.89	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed No	57c	1,750$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.5	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked No	56c	1,650$924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$923.95	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	+6.1wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	-6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes	43c	1,567$671 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$896.06	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Yes	35c	1,514$526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$987.84	148	56.8%84 W · 64 L	+20.7wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Yes	40c	1,500$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$899.99	116	38.8%45 W · 71 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed No	57c	1,500$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$849.99	232	51.7%120 W · 112 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes	45c	1,500$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$829.99	176	36.4%64 W · 112 L	+10.8wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed No	57c	1,500$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$849.95	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	61c	1,476$906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$906.48	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes	43c	1,453$622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$830.53	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3820…2112backed Yes	45c	1,440$648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$792.24	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Yes	34c	1,435$491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$944.1	105	37.1%39 W · 66 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No	56c	1,300$723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$722.77	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8089…f935backed No	56c	1,200$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ff8…2499backed Yes	45c	1,191$536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$655.23	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.40per pick	26cpaid	+81.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked No	62c	1,174$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$733.5	163	57.1%93 W · 70 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x974e…b5f0backed Yes	43c	1,163$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$662.79	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Yes	36c	1,110$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$710.58	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed No	57c	1,109$633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$632.95	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	+6.6wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed No	57c	1,100$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627	149	45%67 W · 82 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f03…ec6abacked Yes	42c	1,074$451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$623.2	78	24.4%19 W · 59 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No	55c	1,070$592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$592.41	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5564…1b0dbacked Yes	25c	1,056$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$792.19	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd98f…5d9abacked No	59c	1,021$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-3.0wins	-0.18per pick	41cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	44c	1,014$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.84	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf595…bfb5backed Yes	46c	1,000$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540	107	36.4%39 W · 68 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked No	55c	1,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	182	48.9%89 W · 93 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a00…4684backed No	55c	999.94$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.97	59	62.7%37 W · 22 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No	52c	953$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.9	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95c6…ce8abacked Yes	32c	942.96$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$638.93	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	20cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcab9…baf6backed Yes	78c	941.65$739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.99	68	55.9%38 W · 30 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No	57c	939.97$532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$531.76	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Yes	43c	930.23$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530.23	195	53.3%104 W · 91 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb76a…9ac8backed Yes	43c	930.23$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530.23	39	20.5%8 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa936…5d19backed Yes	47c	929.94$437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492.87	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed No	54c	882.9$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.77	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	+5.2wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34a5…9450backed No	57c	877.19$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	72	25%18 W · 54 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-30%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes	43c	876.74$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499.74	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Yes	40c	874.13$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$524.13	199	38.2%76 W · 123 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No	49c	838.57$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.79	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No	20c	832.37$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.42	451	45%203 W · 248 L	+22.3wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac97…0c75backed Yes	73c	821.88$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.91	160	42.5%68 W · 92 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1adc…c516backed Yes	44c	809.16$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$453.13	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes	42c	807.79$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$465.75	352	29.3%103 W · 249 L	+14.0wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	24c	752$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$569.01	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes	43c	725$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413.25	347	51%177 W · 170 L	+19.5wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefa7…b25bbacked Yes	36c	700$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6463…e8fdbacked Yes	45c	666.67$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$366.67	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7ed…e3bfbacked No	56c	666$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.96	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b00…52eebacked No	25c	650$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161	73	31.5%23 W · 50 L	+7.6wins	+0.10per pick	21cpaid	+58.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes	37c	647.02$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.92	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No	58c	643.1$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373	254	54.7%139 W · 115 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe427…8266backed No	57c	614.04$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsthis page
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assistsNo won
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goalsNo won
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goalsNo won
Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals + assistsNo won
Alexander Sørloth: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Antonio Nusa: 1+ assistsNo won
Antonio Nusa: 1+ goalsNo won
Antonio Nusa: 1+ shotsNo won
Antonio Nusa: 2+ assistsNo won
Antonio Nusa: 2+ goalsNo won
Antonio Nusa: 2+ shotsNo won
Antonio Nusa: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsNo won
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
Erling Haaland: 1+ shotsYes won
Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsYes won
Erling Haaland: 2+ shotsYes won
Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsNo won
Erling Haaland: 3+ shotsYes won
Erling Haaland: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Erling Haaland: 4+ shotsYes won
Igor Thiago: 1+ goalsNo won
Matheus Cunha: 1+ assistsNo won
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goalsNo won
Matheus Cunha: 1+ shotsYes won
Matheus Cunha: 2+ goalsNo won
Matheus Cunha: 3+ goalsNo won
Matheus Cunha: 3+ shotsNo won
Matheus Cunha: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Raphinha: 1+ goalsNo won
Raphinha: 2+ goalsNo won
Raphinha: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ assistsNo won
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsNo won
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shotsYes won
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ assistsNo won
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goalsNo won
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goalsNo won
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shotsNo won
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shotsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event