TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,777
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,777 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1056240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Yes21c2,500$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53011638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No69c1,452$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed No70c1,397$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.086541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes30c999.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9936247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes20c950.13$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.93189.4%30 W · 288 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No69c920.93$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.493,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc70…7f2abacked Yes31c893.55$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No69c876.97$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.862,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No69c876.39$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.683,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Yes29c785$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9628822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes29c769.23$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22026438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No75c669.99$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.431,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes31c668$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.0834751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No71c594.74$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.4732765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe976…8b73backed No75c540$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1352365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11514116.3%23 W · 118 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x538b…7976backed Yes3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd61f…c6a6backed No69c499.97$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.9912875.8%97 W · 31 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No76c488.98$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.632,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No72c486.78$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.92,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes24c383.47$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.218843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No69c365.36$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.261,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No72c327.78$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.282,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x091e…aec7backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Yes31c303$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9327744.8%124 W · 153 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9720…afa4backed No70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9015742%66 W · 91 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No70c285.65$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6939951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No74c271.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.142,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes22c258$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8614427.8%40 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No80c251$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.288838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed No69c249.95$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4924058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9041…ddbabacked Yes31c227.42$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.511338.9%44 W · 69 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fed…0d36backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017335.3%61 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a4…72adbacked No77c195.13$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.136578.5%51 W · 14 L+8.7wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes30c190.69$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.278,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25c7…9179backed Yes31c173.52$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.797528%21 W · 54 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f62…1239backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509242.4%39 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016016.3%26 W · 134 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1980…3c8dbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504812.5%6 W · 42 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f5d…de70backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505632.1%18 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8cb…b294backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508522.4%19 W · 66 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0671…6071backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502015%3 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-55.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes31c158.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4914528.3%41 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a58…4890backed Yes31c156.48$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.511729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c9…748cbacked No80c125.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.135658.9%33 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2291…b0c9backed Yes31c125.03$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.762128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked No71c105$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4524541.2%101 W · 144 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3115448.7%75 W · 79 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52f4…3f0bbacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e52…6577backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253650%18 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa09b…db3dbacked No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305738.6%22 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba2…d17abacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c23…0266backed Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010630.2%32 W · 74 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes27c84.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.161,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed No80c84.09$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1714763.9%94 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2566745%300 W · 367 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fae…688abacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No69c78$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.183,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82b2…bdc4backed Yes61c76.47$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475427.8%15 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…e26abacked Yes20c76.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5754…cefbbacked Yes31c65.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2429341%120 W · 173 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc13…2e49backed Yes31c55.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.062231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x760d…0786backed Yes31c51.58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7414557.9%84 W · 61 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb2f9…f703backed No70c51$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.34158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec2f…43a2backed Yes29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c7a…296bbacked Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.59447.9%45 W · 49 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes33c49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.321,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbfb…550cbacked Yes31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516839.9%67 W · 101 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4f2…667ebacked Yes34c45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.29627.1%26 W · 70 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6300…41adbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109434%32 W · 62 L-9.9wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a07…267fbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011646.6%54 W · 62 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5be5…a7f8backed Yes31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.46040%24 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd33a…a409backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010357.3%59 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No80c36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2337971.2%270 W · 109 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed No72c32.06$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0520860.6%126 W · 82 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No45c31.25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2985550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked No48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2566932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No71c29.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.71,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No70c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.12,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9429…fd87backed No69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.755646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.