TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3e52…6577

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3650%18 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$27.54
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Take First Cornerbacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$28.4
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.15
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$24.13
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$80.5
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.54
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.24
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$159.84
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$55.2
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+134.1%+$20.05
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.26
Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$32.8
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$50.91
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+114.8%+$120.2
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$42.45
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.69
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$38.33
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.72
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$44.55
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.82
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$57.24
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$48.92
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$289
Broncos vs. Texans: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Bears vs. Bengals: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Cowboys vs. Broncosbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Vikings vs. Chargersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Jets: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.9
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Bears vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Cowboys vs. Panthers: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$137.85
Spread: Chargers (-4.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+323.3%+$484.92
Chiefs vs. Jaguars: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+133.3%+$66.67
All 14 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-67.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$43.65
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama vs. South Carolinabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will one person dissent the July Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.