NFL · resolved market
Chiefs vs. Jaguars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59d4803810920f86bcc24ab5ec8d83fe7255c351d1c229fe0cf9b652283aac0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jaguarsof Chiefs, Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,382,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,474,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,382,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,032 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chiefs | 56c | 249,697$138,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138,882.4 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Chiefs | 64c | 234,350$149,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149,984.08 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Jaguars | 36c | 191,159$69,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,940.22 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Jaguars | 39c | 177,825$70,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,621.01 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Chiefs | 69c | 157,220$109,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,019.94 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Chiefs | 58c | 131,192$76,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,431.68 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e98…1f51backed Chiefs | 64c | 130,031$82,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,737.25 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Jaguars | 37c | 102,430$37,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,571.65 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Jaguars | 35c | 99,999$35,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,699.61 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Chiefs | 62c | 94,189$58,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,827.32 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Jaguars | 42c | 93,882$39,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,120.98 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Jaguars | 25c | 81,792$20,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,143.74 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…e113backed Jaguars | 36c | 75,018$27,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,011.31 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Jaguars | 35c | 73,614$25,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,122.6 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Jaguars | 45c | 71,112$31,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,285.29 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Jaguars | 36c | 60,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,400 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Jaguars | 37c | 54,054$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,054.05 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3d…35d0backed Jaguars | 69c | 51,055$35,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,857.16 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +58%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Jaguars | 37c | 47,500$17,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,027 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Chiefs | 64c | 40,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,500 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6441…4e5bbacked Chiefs | 64c | 39,322$25,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,211.81 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Jaguars | 54c | 36,935$20,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,918.01 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Chiefs | 64c | 32,961$20,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,946.21 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Chiefs | 56c | 31,300$17,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,569.81 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Jaguars | 43c | 30,169$12,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,321.82 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Chiefs | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,899.95 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Jaguars | 37c | 25,000$9,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,750 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Jaguars | 35c | 25,000$8,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,250 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Jaguars | 35c | 25,000$8,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,250 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Jaguars | 36c | 25,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,999.98 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Chiefs | 70c | 24,946$17,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,581.09 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…7e1fbacked Jaguars | 50c | 24,445$12,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,235.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Jaguars | 35c | 23,478$8,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,287.58 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Chiefs | 65c | 23,218$15,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,091.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Jaguars | 36c | 20,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,799.91 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78f…72dbbacked Chiefs | 65c | 15,689$10,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,197.81 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked Chiefs | 65c | 15,385$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Jaguars | 38c | 15,051$5,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,402.25 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Jaguars | 31c | 15,015$4,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,309.99 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Jaguars | 47c | 14,784$6,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,842.89 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Jaguars | 36c | 14,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,960 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6570…480bbacked Chiefs | 65c | 13,712$8,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,913.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Chiefs | 64c | 13,671$8,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,749.64 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Jaguars | 73c | 13,542$9,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694.69 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Jaguars | 16c | 13,300$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,203.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Jaguars | 67c | 11,639$7,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800.42 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Jaguars | 32c | 11,200$3,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,663.53 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Jaguars | 35c | 10,500$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,825 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…5155backed Jaguars | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0431…6088backed Chiefs | 63c | 10,000$6,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,350 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Jaguars | 37c | 9,571$3,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,029.61 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Chiefs | 62c | 9,520$5,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,902.37 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Jaguars | 40c | 9,447$3,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,688.66 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Jaguars | 36c | 9,424$3,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,031.65 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Chiefs | 30c | 9,390$2,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.5 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Jaguars | 35c | 9,321$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,030.39 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Jaguars | 35c | 8,679$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,619.61 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Chiefs | 64c | 8,607$5,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,508.56 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Chiefs | 56c | 8,348$4,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,708.16 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Jaguars | 36c | 8,020$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,132.8 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Jaguars | 36c | 7,989$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,112.89 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed Jaguars | 51c | 7,842$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,842.96 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Chiefs | 63c | 7,832$4,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,934.2 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Chiefs | 63c | 7,500$4,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,724.97 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Chiefs | 62c | 7,214$4,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,453.19 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Jaguars | 32c | 7,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,750 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3950…71b3backed Jaguars | 36c | 6,991$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,461.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Chiefs | 76c | 6,819$5,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,178.19 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Chiefs | 63c | 6,710$4,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,219.23 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Chiefs | 67c | 6,467$4,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,308.06 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Jaguars | 40c | 6,309$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,767.99 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Chiefs | 39c | 6,156$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.17 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Jaguars | 37c | 6,112$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,874.97 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7d…4d56backed Jaguars | 36c | 6,093$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Jaguars | 40c | 6,056$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,662.85 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Jaguars | 71c | 5,697$4,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.73 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Chiefs | 64c | 5,623$3,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,608.43 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Jaguars | 48c | 5,413$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.7 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Jaguars | 32c | 5,300$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,619 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +131.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Chiefs | 63c | 5,246$3,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304.9 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Jaguars | 36c | 5,241$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,354.54 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3c…f731backed Chiefs | 63c | 5,186$3,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,246.9 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -6.1wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Chiefs | 68c | 5,157$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.17 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…14fcbacked Chiefs | 80c | 5,136$4,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,108.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 79cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Jaguars | 36c | 5,100$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,264 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Jaguars | 26c | 5,018$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.71 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Jaguars | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Jaguars | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x02bd…1d82backed Jaguars | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Chiefs | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bd…11bebacked Jaguars | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea18…3cbebacked Jaguars | 43c | 4,999$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Chiefs | 62c | 4,896$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021.94 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Jaguars | 22c | 4,834$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,755.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Chiefs | 63c | 4,697$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.17 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Chiefs | 65c | 4,615$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Chiefs | 65c | 4,596$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.38 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c36…9719backed Jaguars | 38c | 4,568$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.43 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc38a…aff3backed Chiefs | 64c | 4,500$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d48…d360backed Jaguars | 41c | 4,470$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,633.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chiefs vs. Jaguarsthis page
- Chiefs vs. Jaguars: O/U 42.5Over won
- Chiefs vs. Jaguars: O/U 44.5Over won
- Chiefs vs. Jaguars: O/U 45.5Over won
- Chiefs vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5Over won
- Chiefs vs. Jaguars: O/U 47.5Over won
- Chiefs vs. Jaguars: O/U 52.5Over won
- Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Jaguars (-1.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Jaguars (-3.5)Chiefs won
- Spread: Jaguars (-4.5)Chiefs won
- Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)Chiefs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.