NFL · resolved market
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfe064bc0a3ede97d344c68baeb6e429ec904aff255badec184d7624e1a9eed5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jaguarsof Chiefs, Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $460,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $471,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $460,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Chiefs | 48c | 170,000$81,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,600 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Jaguars | 52c | 123,997$64,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,518.68 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Chiefs | 48c | 80,000$38,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,400 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Jaguars | 52c | 60,000$31,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,799.99 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Jaguars | 52c | 44,957$23,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,579.26 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Jaguars | 52c | 37,881$19,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,261.74 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Jaguars | 51c | 30,269$15,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,831.93 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Chiefs | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Jaguars | 52c | 25,680$13,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,326.4 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Chiefs | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,999.98 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Chiefs | 50c | 23,059$11,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,465.26 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Chiefs | 49c | 17,850$8,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,662.5 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Jaguars | 52c | 16,969$8,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,151.79 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Jaguars | 50c | 14,372$7,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,186.01 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Jaguars | 52c | 14,081$7,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,694.99 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Chiefs | 49c | 11,255$5,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,514.92 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Jaguars | 53c | 9,428$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,431.3 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Jaguars | 52c | 9,000$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,280 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jaguars | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Jaguars | 52c | 7,729$4,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Chiefs | 47c | 7,130$3,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,351.14 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…0d9cbacked Chiefs | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Jaguars | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Chiefs | 49c | 4,047$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chiefs | 47c | 3,986$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.93 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Chiefs | 48c | 3,849$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.68 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Jaguars | 52c | 3,650$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Jaguars | 47c | 3,171$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.57 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…9ed3backed Chiefs | 49c | 3,059$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Chiefs | 48c | 2,130$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.15 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Chiefs | 48c | 2,067$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.16 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Chiefs | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Jaguars | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…366bbacked Jaguars | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…c27fbacked Chiefs | 48c | 1,987$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Chiefs | 50c | 1,982$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.87 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…6d23backed Jaguars | 52c | 1,930$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.4 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…333cbacked Chiefs | 54c | 1,892$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Chiefs | 54c | 1,671$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.28 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Chiefs | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Chiefs | 50c | 1,049$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.43 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Jaguars | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Jaguars | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed Chiefs | 49c | 969.39$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8217backed Chiefs | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Jaguars | 53c | 942.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.17 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Chiefs | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Jaguars | 53c | 818.87$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Chiefs | 49c | 778$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.73 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c9…c193backed Chiefs | 48c | 720$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Jaguars | 51c | 650.79$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.75 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…9b19backed Chiefs | 48c | 624.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Chiefs | 50c | 602.06$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Jaguars | 50c | 570.74$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.37 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Jaguars | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Chiefs | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Jaguars | 53c | 400$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Chiefs | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Chiefs | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…e211backed Chiefs | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…793bbacked Jaguars | 52c | 389$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c3…3242backed Jaguars | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Jaguars | 51c | 377$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Jaguars | 51c | 375.45$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.97 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…b39abacked Chiefs | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…4d0bbacked Chiefs | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Jaguars | 51c | 306.12$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Chiefs | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Chiefs | 49c | 263$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.74 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Chiefs | 60c | 260$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.83 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Jaguars | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Jaguars | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Chiefs | 49c | 240$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Chiefs | 47c | 239.53$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.58 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Chiefs | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Chiefs | 49c | 211$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…48a2backed Chiefs | 51c | 208.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e349backed Chiefs | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Jaguars | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Chiefs | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f0…7b1fbacked Chiefs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21c…3aedbacked Jaguars | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…24e6backed Chiefs | 49c | 199.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Jaguars | 51c | 197.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.63 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Jaguars | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Chiefs | 49c | 182.27$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b1…7be8backed Chiefs | 48c | 175.96$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…6b37backed Chiefs | 49c | 171$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Chiefs | 49c | 153.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Jaguars | 20c | 150$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…a079backed Jaguars | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Chiefs | 49c | 135.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Jaguars | 52c | 135$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Jaguars | 49c | 125$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Chiefs | 49c | 121.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 145 | 50.3%73 W · 72 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3853…a3d3backed Jaguars | 53c | 115$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Chiefs | 46c | 108.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed Chiefs | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb3…5874backed Chiefs | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Chiefs | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)this page
- Chiefs vs. JaguarsJaguars won
- Chiefs vs. Jaguars: O/U 42.5Over won
- Chiefs vs. Jaguars: O/U 44.5Over won
- Chiefs vs. Jaguars: O/U 45.5Over won
- Chiefs vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5Over won
- Chiefs vs. Jaguars: O/U 47.5Over won
- Chiefs vs. Jaguars: O/U 52.5Over won
- Spread: Jaguars (-1.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Jaguars (-3.5)Chiefs won
- Spread: Jaguars (-4.5)Chiefs won
- Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)Chiefs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.