TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,138,232
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,152,765

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,138,232 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,434 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8eea…22cbbacked Yes0c606,310$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.22650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-31.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbee5…a636backed Yes52c597,542$309,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309,321.84450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed No50c222,118$110,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111,679.2616040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No53c184,907$98,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,765.6516651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No47c135,453$63,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,856.691947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No51c100,099$51,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,660.0824846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Yes49c86,807$42,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,109.328940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No48c80,582$38,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,208.6210455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x912a…2e6abacked No48c72,999$35,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,959.31560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes48c72,917$35,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,00011445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No48c72,304$34,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,597.893148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No48c71,441$34,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,149.0913353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No49c69,140$33,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,261.355547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes48c68,515$33,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,216.2288635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa36f…180bbacked No48c55,555$26,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,888.6650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes33c52,129$16,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,998.9213748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes50c51,776$25,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,682.85848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa43a…aa76backed Yes48c51,504$24,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,722.03837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No50c45,927$22,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,153.481,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2e9…1644backed Yes47c45,806$21,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,348.79757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c44,490$22,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,435.912,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No49c38,930$19,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,849.3731944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Yes51c38,839$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0001643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc862…e047backed Yes37c37,008$13,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,692.791050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked No53c28,302$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,301.895352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed Yes54c26,960$14,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,581.132623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-45.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Yes50c25,888$12,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,841.43855.3%21 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No48c25,500$12,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,2607448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No56c24,141$13,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,654.526,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed No37c21,446$7,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,449.83540%14 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No49c20,074$9,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,237.693070%21 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes50c20,000$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,899.965242.3%22 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x19f4…ae29backed Yes65c19,498$12,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,744.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes39c19,131$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50017634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes52c18,434$9,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,649.8919239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No50c18,000$8,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,039.9515944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked No49c15,760$7,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,037.562846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No49c15,000$7,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,649.982560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked No49c15,000$7,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,649.913745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes36c13,036$4,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,744.3620140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes52c12,990$6,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,754.693053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff99…5602backed Yes55c12,652$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No49c12,402$6,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,341.556448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No52c11,981$6,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,750.9413348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Yes33c11,434$3,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,761.354035%14 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes50c10,854$5,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,480.9267042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No49c10,718$5,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,441.6635941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No49c10,640$5,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,468.462,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No49c10,537$5,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,374.017035.7%25 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No34c10,441$3,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,851.4576842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No50c10,040$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,039.740655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9826…e7febacked No48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2001250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.797335.6%26 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No47c9,999$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.726550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Yes50c9,961$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44f…6225backed Yes53c9,434$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Yes51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0802951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes50c8,000$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,959.9125544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes45c7,601$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4009451.1%48 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Yes48c6,687$3,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,209.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x129f…7b9ebacked Yes51c6,561$3,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,336.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x294f…4576backed Yes51c5,887$3,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,002.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d9…79b8backed Yes51c5,860$2,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,988.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Yes49c5,649$2,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,770.277250%36 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed No48c5,600$2,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9122060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Yes50c5,451$2,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,742.161136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.9345936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.9290751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked No48c4,997$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,598.384100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+143.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes39c4,924$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,91925225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1c4…905ebacked No50c4,911$2,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,455.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4528…ce3abacked No50c4,911$2,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,455.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5259…13f0backed No50c4,779$2,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,389.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a2e…568abacked No50c4,717$2,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,358.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed No53c4,717$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.983151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…f402backed Yes48c4,451$2,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.641330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No49c4,444$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,266.4432158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe54d…fea1backed Yes51c4,444$2,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No48c4,431$2,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,304.229350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf919…3241backed Yes40c4,330$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No41c4,143$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,424.921,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb70…bc98backed Yes51c4,121$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,101.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93cb…0bcfbacked Yes51c4,098$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,089.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No50c4,084$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,047.8718453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked Yes52c4,058$2,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,110.39837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes38c4,049$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.338233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32df…cce8backed Yes52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0801855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7fd…89debacked Yes53c4,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f19…6aabbacked No48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No51c3,962$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,924.1759247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes36c3,940$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.9916437.2%61 W · 103 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes50c3,923$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.266737.3%25 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb7b…3051backed Yes51c3,844$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.67520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked No53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.585442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No49c3,669$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,871.199061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked No57c3,559$2,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.199660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes49c3,542$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.3612949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes48c3,542$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70010848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No48c3,500$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.9813151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes66c3,405$2,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,247.4823350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.