TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$633,148
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$727,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $633,148 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 378 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xce9d…f402backed No75c85,189$63,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,639.941330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed Yes66c42,147$27,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,424.332623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-45.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4ee…4bfabacked No75c31,942$24,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,048.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes25c28,489$7,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,366.585552.7%29 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c27,361$6,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,866.366,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes25c27,300$6,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,4755345.3%24 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c27,108$6,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,428.242,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No48c24,614$11,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,860.2388635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c23,923$10,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,232.84,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No75c20,500$15,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,3756261.3%38 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes25c20,390$4,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,391.241,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes25c20,305$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,304.8140655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No75c20,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc862…e047backed Yes66c15,649$10,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,259.591050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No75c15,215$11,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,344.347851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Yes35c14,286$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,285.716066.7%40 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes25c12,556$3,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,416.9311942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46bc…2d14backed Yes25c12,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,000633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes24c11,765$2,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,901.9476842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2e9…1644backed Yes53c10,000$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,750757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No75c10,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5005242.3%22 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes69c8,036$5,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,505.818748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No80c6,250$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed No76c6,040$4,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,590.385251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No78c5,817$4,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,551.6513748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No75c5,000$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7509859.2%58 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb30d…5cf1backed Yes79c4,787$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.613100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+61.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No41c4,619$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907.642,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No76c4,325$3,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,286.9518453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Yes36c4,232$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,708.753234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No23c4,057$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.457129.6%21 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No40c3,949$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.4553344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Yes28c3,560$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,560.294744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Yes55c3,389$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.4850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd2c…e8e8backed No30c3,038$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.991010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-80.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd09d…b15dbacked No1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Yes40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No75c2,821$2,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108.755751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No64c2,642$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.1756453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes23c2,587$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,984.9484549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No75c2,500$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,87527752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked No80c2,417$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.273855.3%21 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes25c2,220$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6655135.3%18 W · 33 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No64c2,141$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3701241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No76c2,100$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.2514162.4%88 W · 53 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed No60c2,037$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.152250%11 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29ab…a640backed Yes21c2,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes26c1,923$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.0814138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No75c1,915$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.2525544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes24c1,830$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.1659247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes24c1,823$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.4235941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No32c1,794$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.12343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a0c…3f90backed Yes46c1,613$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No23c1,445$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.1174644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ddb…b423backed Yes66c1,396$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c9…e4b3backed Yes34c1,361$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.02540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed No77c1,272$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.52035%7 W · 13 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-42.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes56c1,258$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.187650%38 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes25c1,251$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.251,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9948…47e7backed Yes26c1,232$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.421435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes32c1,199$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.3241343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes25c1,167$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.938442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No25c1,145$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.1477336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Yes24c1,122$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.414862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2811…838abacked Yes49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No76c1,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7606743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No40c974.88$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.671,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No76c912$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.129254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes26c911$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.1429250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No66c910.01$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.7232345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked No75c883$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.255242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7328…7f6cbacked No44c835.45$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.011315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-74.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e8d…a2acbacked Yes60c833.5$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.52441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb553…457bbacked Yes24c833.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.332540%10 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x30d9…7c7bbacked Yes24c800$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No64c782$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.482875%21 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x353c…01d9backed Yes24c770.83$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.834734%16 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed No56c757.76$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.097166.2%47 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No46c640.08$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.649929.3%29 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1980…3c8dbacked Yes24c625$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66f0…1229backed No68c619.03$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c08…3704backed Yes65c618.42$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.42540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-42.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cad…6ce4backed Yes74c584.97$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.541172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No40c574.91$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.047545.3%34 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No77c570.77$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.554340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a6…2f74backed Yes24c555.63$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.281050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+58%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Yes21c495.24$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.2410751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No60c472.5$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.55464.8%35 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5542…01cebacked No75c465.99$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.492166.7%14 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes26c461.54$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.5410950.5%55 W · 54 L+11.5wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No43c457.39$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9157150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72cf…26c7backed Yes23c441.41$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.07837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No44c438.69$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.8357833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3628…c986backed Yes67c432.76$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.814037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa927…4847backed Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.671346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed No24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d8c…99f6backed Yes39c387.97$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.971241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No8c347$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.234040%16 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Yes57c346.67$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.07785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+77.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.