TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$538,132
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$519,009

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $538,132 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 488 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No75c43,255$32,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,726.581234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed Yes38c35,637$13,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,715.72623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-45.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Yes25c33,096$8,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,436.938940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes23c29,679$6,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,727.396,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No76c24,000$18,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,759.999347.3%44 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes24c14,924$3,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,581.769849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked No74c13,514$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,513.5110848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No74c12,490$9,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,247.295552.7%29 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes17c11,710$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,033.7113748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf919…3241backed Yes20c10,580$2,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,156.7430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes24c10,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4005242.3%22 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Yes27c9,259$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5005352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes26c8,930$2,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,321.856453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes25c8,674$2,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,188.5415944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes15c8,380$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.5474644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c8,356$6,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.222,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c8,190$2,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,075.122,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No74c7,900$5,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,05415949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes20c6,745$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.077450%37 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c31…23cbbacked No74c5,290$3,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.43771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Yes27c5,230$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.073548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed No74c5,100$3,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32618948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes0c5,020$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No24c5,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8007429.7%22 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.16per pick13cpaid+125%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No74c4,997$3,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.1490751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No80c4,784$3,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.251,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes10c4,550$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.0575542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked No73c4,475$3,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.252657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No74c4,432$3,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.8225544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes23c4,333$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9902133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No73c4,070$2,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.888453.6%45 W · 39 L+9.8wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4789…994abacked No74c4,054$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.05966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No80c4,007$3,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.637050%35 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Yes25c3,977$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.675038%19 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes24c3,952$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.56737.3%25 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes24c3,922$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.5619239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes24c3,671$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.949660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No80c3,483$2,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.5874056.9%421 W · 319 L+46.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7211…c51bbacked No76c3,414$2,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.663060%18 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9945936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked No75c2,800$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7003745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed No76c2,500$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No73c2,471$1,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.316651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4607…d542backed Yes13c2,308$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No76c2,287$1,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.2540655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0813…017ebacked Yes18c2,283$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No76c2,269$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.564,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes20c2,010$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.2210053%53 W · 47 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed No75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.021855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4808043.8%35 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29ab…a640backed Yes27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Yes25c1,892$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.9541850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Yes27c1,852$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50070%0 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes25c1,802$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.1310765.4%70 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes25c1,800$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4506142.6%26 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes20c1,800$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.9930645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes20c1,714$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35028824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked No73c1,676$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.681090%9 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick65cpaid+32%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes28c1,661$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.143033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed No78c1,645$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.8519460.3%117 W · 77 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No76c1,625$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.1614949%73 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No76c1,520$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.329254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes25c1,514$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.3357847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed No32c1,500$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0204131.7%13 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick21cpaid+85.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes25c1,400$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507048.6%34 W · 36 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked No76c1,312$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.928743.7%38 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Yes26c1,270$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3365139.2%20 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d49…a319backed No79c1,267$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.04450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes25c1,263$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.661,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes24c1,262$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.8526444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74bb…3b52backed Yes28c1,222$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.16837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80c7…d9c5backed No76c1,200$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+138.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Yes27c1,088$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.765050%25 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked No75c1,063$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.33080%24 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x08f9…c741backed Yes28c1,046$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.8690%0 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No71c1,037$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.522277.3%17 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+38.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed No75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2504731.9%15 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2506743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a1c…49c1backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc040…9121backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbb3…0834backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No75c999.95$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.9931053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes21c938.98$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7938233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No76c908.51$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.0435941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Yes22c874.99$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1954822.9%11 W · 37 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No79c801.85$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.7954132.9%178 W · 363 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d43…ce68backed Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Yes15c800$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.377131%22 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes26c759$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.110233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbba…dbffbacked No74c755.99$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+71.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4613…0ddfbacked Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d9…7c7bbacked Yes27c699.99$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ff…38c2backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea60…cc6bbacked Yes30c664.49$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed No79c651.67$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.367166.2%47 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes16c649.32$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.068442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.