NFL · resolved market
Vikings vs. Chargers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0c0941e8774b0d0df1fd8f84ab7b83076a1675a1feb214e426579beb3046aec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chargersof Vikings, Chargers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,781,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,928,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,781,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,088 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8dbf…53bebacked Vikings | 39c | 768,977$299,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299,901.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Vikings | 38c | 503,794$191,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191,441.61 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Vikings | 22c | 341,315$74,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,497.44 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Chargers | 62c | 250,290$155,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,110.13 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Chargers | 61c | 243,555$148,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,986.48 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Chargers | 61c | 189,999$116,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,199.55 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Vikings | 6c | 173,741$10,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,338.84 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Chargers | 70c | 140,226$98,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,413.57 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Chargers | 61c | 119,999$73,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,799.76 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Vikings | 1c | 112,000$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Vikings | 23c | 100,000$22,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,897.69 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Chargers | 62c | 100,000$62,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,000 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Vikings | 38c | 85,973$32,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,239.85 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Chargers | 78c | 84,500$65,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,930 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Chargers | 61c | 69,215$42,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,984.27 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Chargers | 62c | 66,791$41,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,463.09 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Chargers | 62c | 61,184$37,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,249.92 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Chargers | 62c | 55,000$34,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,900 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9481…4931backed Vikings | 38c | 55,000$20,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,899.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Vikings | 39c | 51,282$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…1eb7backed Vikings | 2c | 49,038$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Vikings | 5c | 46,501$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.04 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Chargers | 63c | 44,951$28,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,688.75 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Vikings | 38c | 40,000$15,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,200 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Chargers | 70c | 39,541$27,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,698.75 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Chargers | 78c | 31,509$24,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,943.05 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Chargers | 61c | 28,600$17,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,154 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Chargers | 62c | 28,481$17,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,822.6 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Chargers | 61c | 27,713$16,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,808.07 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Chargers | 61c | 25,558$15,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,848.41 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…ea6bbacked Vikings | 21c | 25,261$5,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,356.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Chargers | 63c | 22,571$14,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,351.43 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Vikings | 39c | 22,564$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,800 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…b441backed Vikings | 3c | 22,132$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.83 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Chargers | 62c | 21,123$13,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,026.92 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Chargers | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Vikings | 15c | 19,300$2,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,946.47 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Chargers | 61c | 18,751$11,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,312.89 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Chargers | 61c | 17,509$10,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,798.77 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188c…c62bbacked Chargers | 62c | 16,123$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,126.58 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Vikings | 2c | 14,606$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.05 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Chargers | 75c | 14,495$10,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,637.99 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Vikings | 1c | 13,680$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.37 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc153…6c8bbacked Vikings | 37c | 13,000$4,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,809.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Vikings | 23c | 11,850$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.1 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Vikings | 21c | 11,654$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.2 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Chargers | 61c | 10,103$6,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,940.28 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Vikings | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.96 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Vikings | 32c | 9,911$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,170.13 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…df32backed Chargers | 63c | 9,500$5,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,515 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Vikings | 10c | 9,441$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.4 | 183 | 36.1%66 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chargers | 65c | 9,332$6,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,269.26 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…e0d1backed Vikings | 39c | 9,000$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcde7…e29fbacked Vikings | 1c | 8,330$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.59 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Chargers | 69c | 8,012$5,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Chargers | 62c | 7,500$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Vikings | 38c | 7,000$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.93 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Chargers | 63c | 6,740$4,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.32 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chargers | 79c | 6,530$5,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.89 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa447…cc98backed Chargers | 62c | 6,500$4,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Chargers | 60c | 6,309$3,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.32 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Vikings | 36c | 6,164$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.56 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chargers | 61c | 6,158$3,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.72 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Vikings | 39c | 5,873$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.71 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba5…58afbacked Vikings | 38c | 5,800$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf0…5ac2backed Vikings | 19c | 5,281$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Vikings | 17c | 5,180$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Chargers | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Vikings | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Vikings | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59a7…9f30backed Vikings | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Vikings | 38c | 4,917$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.37 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…e1e7backed Chargers | 63c | 4,839$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Vikings | 34c | 4,666$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.37 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…26b6backed Vikings | 39c | 4,610$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Vikings | 43c | 4,500$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Vikings | 38c | 4,427$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Chargers | 61c | 4,343$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.63 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Chargers | 62c | 4,310$2,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.8 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Vikings | 0c | 4,167$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…ccd9backed Chargers | 63c | 4,100$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x058b…1cd1backed Chargers | 63c | 4,093$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.47 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cd3fbacked Chargers | 61c | 4,081$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.27 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Vikings | 13c | 4,056$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.91 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0886backed Vikings | 3c | 4,000$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Chargers | 61c | 3,840$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.6 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Chargers | 61c | 3,788$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.05 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Vikings | 1c | 3,639$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c1…54b0backed Vikings | 39c | 3,574$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.02 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…892bbacked Vikings | 39c | 3,500$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Vikings | 6c | 3,301$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.99 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Chargers | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.81 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93a…8b69backed Vikings | 39c | 3,205$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…0856backed Vikings | 39c | 3,077$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…a52abacked Chargers | 63c | 3,005$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…1778backed Vikings | 8c | 2,735$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Chargers | 63c | 2,698$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.41 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Chargers | 61c | 2,600$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Chargers | 58c | 2,586$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.54 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…d028backed Vikings | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vikings vs. Chargersthis page
- Spread: Chargers (-2.5)Chargers won
- Spread: Chargers (-3.5)Chargers won
- Vikings vs. Chargers: O/U 42.5Over won
- Vikings vs. Chargers: O/U 43.5Over won
- Vikings vs. Chargers: O/U 44.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.