NFL · resolved market
Spread: Chargers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x118c243d8463d944691e5b2a84075d51a8dea1628829df3b822580ce769ae7c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chargersof Chargers, Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $434,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $433,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $434,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Chargers | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,999.95 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Vikings | 52c | 97,242$50,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,565.96 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Chargers | 48c | 67,456$32,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,410.2 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Vikings | 52c | 62,500$32,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,499.98 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e98…1f51backed Vikings | 53c | 60,000$31,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,800 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chargers | 48c | 58,307$28,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,241.17 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Chargers | 47c | 19,130$8,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,138.65 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Chargers | 48c | 14,887$7,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,748.16 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Vikings | 53c | 14,285$7,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,541.31 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Chargers | 48c | 13,176$6,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,844.79 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Vikings | 52c | 11,000$5,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,720 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Chargers | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Vikings | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Vikings | 53c | 6,792$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Vikings | 51c | 5,723$2,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,918.73 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Chargers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Vikings | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Chargers | 49c | 4,914$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.52 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Vikings | 52c | 4,891$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.19 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Vikings | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.99 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Vikings | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Vikings | 51c | 3,883$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.49 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Vikings | 53c | 3,800$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Vikings | 52c | 3,562$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.17 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Vikings | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Chargers | 7c | 3,200$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,982 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chargers | 43c | 2,989$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.28 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Vikings | 52c | 2,880$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.6 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Vikings | 52c | 2,195$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.28 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Chargers | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Vikings | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Vikings | 52c | 1,670$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.4 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Vikings | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…42e9backed Chargers | 48c | 1,156$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.25 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…9441backed Chargers | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Vikings | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…45dbbacked Vikings | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Vikings | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Vikings | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Vikings | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Vikings | 51c | 799.99$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…b39abacked Vikings | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Chargers | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b01…0aa5backed Vikings | 53c | 594.64$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Chargers | 48c | 553.22$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.64 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Vikings | 52c | 528.85$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Vikings | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…c165backed Vikings | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Vikings | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc79…6b98backed Chargers | 49c | 471.12$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.27 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Vikings | 51c | 436.95$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.26 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0810…257fbacked Chargers | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Chargers | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c3…3242backed Vikings | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…c24dbacked Vikings | 53c | 363.77$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Vikings | 54c | 334.99$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.34 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Chargers | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Chargers | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Vikings | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Chargers | 46c | 292.2$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Chargers | 46c | 274.16$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.05 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f8…e156backed Vikings | 53c | 225$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.25 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1887…adc2backed Chargers | 48c | 212.5$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Chargers | 45c | 210$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Chargers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Vikings | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -12.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Vikings | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Chargers | 45c | 192.11$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -67%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…68b9backed Vikings | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Vikings | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Vikings | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f8…5897backed Chargers | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…a079backed Vikings | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Vikings | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…f97cbacked Chargers | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d7…8adcbacked Chargers | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Vikings | 52c | 105$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…ac13backed Chargers | 48c | 105$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…f464backed Chargers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Vikings | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Vikings | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7259…a6c4backed Vikings | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Chargers | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x382b…2c5abacked Vikings | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d3…d153backed Vikings | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Chargers | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead9…cc72backed Vikings | 53c | 97.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…31c7backed Vikings | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…534cbacked Chargers | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…70f9backed Vikings | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Vikings | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…bae8backed Chargers | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Chargers | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked Vikings | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9b…3b7bbacked Vikings | 53c | 74.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Chargers | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8740…95ccbacked Chargers | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…21b7backed Vikings | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Vikings | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Chargers | 46c | 52.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chargers (-3.5)this page
- Spread: Chargers (-2.5)Chargers won
- Vikings vs. ChargersChargers won
- Vikings vs. Chargers: O/U 42.5Over won
- Vikings vs. Chargers: O/U 43.5Over won
- Vikings vs. Chargers: O/U 44.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.