TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5bb3…21b7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NHL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 60 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST2147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+77.3%+$37.09
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+270.4%+$54.07
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+143.9%+$71.95
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+143.9%+$41.3
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Nuggets (To Advance)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$63
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$36
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.2
Over 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$54.6
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.9
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+59.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+79.2%+$39.6
Golden Knights vs. Blues: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$43.71
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+143.9%+$71.95
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+122.2%+$36.67
Blue Jackets vs. Penguinsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$22.88
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Kings vs. Starsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$26.22
Canadiens vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Flyers vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.2
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+77.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+62.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+203%+$33.5
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$29.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2025-10-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+138.2%+$27.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Paris Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-10-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.