TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris FC win on 2025-10-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,833
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,467

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,833 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes59c30,000$17,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,7008944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No41c26,046$10,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,367.411266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No47c9,672$4,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,130.731,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No63c5,880$3,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,202.468976.4%68 W · 21 L+17.9wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+32.8%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked No42c5,151$2,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,996.363151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No39c4,777$1,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,913.76966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes61c4,560$2,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,781.593348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes59c2,500$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4751060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes39c2,461$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.061,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes61c2,388$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.694645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No59c2,030$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No40c1,199$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.64932.7%16 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes59c1,163$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.0714654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed No48c1,138$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.611747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes60c1,083$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.796842.6%29 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23b…24f9backed Yes60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No40c999.98$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.991258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes40c918.78$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3692711.1%3 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-53.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes42c830.23$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.77546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes41c607.14$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505735.1%20 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked Yes59c600$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3541233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes49c577.82$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.131758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes59c515.05$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.0523153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Yes59c479.11$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.678447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014340.6%58 W · 85 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No40c314.71$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.3213050.8%66 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No43c297.06$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.328041.3%33 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No43c286.31$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.9933938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes59c255$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.58444%37 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes35c210$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736529.2%19 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes60c195$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.226845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab4…a7b3backed Yes60c194.88$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.931643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No41c183.26$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.124030%12 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe220…0aaebacked Yes58c172.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x495f…06b0backed Yes27c166.67$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003122.6%7 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-50.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No45c159.7$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.644839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No40c147.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.823260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x250c…88cabacked No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4e…b978backed No41c131.23$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.56825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed No41c130$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.71172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No41c124.17$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.675736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked No41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.952441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9999…9868backed Yes56c114.06$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.871457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601675%12 W · 4 L+5.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+78.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0774…99febacked Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+51.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No40c95.51$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0721560%129 W · 86 L+15.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Yes61c87.54$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc14…1dd2backed Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2968…e0c4backed No41c81.51$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No51c77.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1335037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed No77c70$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.14055%22 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f12…66f8backed Yes28c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No63c68.09$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1915071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes25c67.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.835554.5%30 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf81…cf50backed Yes45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd691…1a95backed No76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f34…eeb4backed No76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes61c65.66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406850%34 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes62c64.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No38c64.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a5b…f97ebacked No41c63.39$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8f…fab4backed Yes60c59.72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Yes37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51637.5%6 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.25per pick63cpaid-50.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302740.7%11 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-34.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf3a4…d079backed Yes59c48.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed No41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.781735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bb3…21b7backed No42c47.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf316…b391backed Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-44.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3731…405fbacked Yes24c45.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ec9…bd7abacked Yes60c44.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea9…7f33backed Yes59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a2…d4ddbacked Yes60c40.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No40c37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.220860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8e5…1f13backed Yes58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-54.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfbe3…d6cdbacked Yes60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc3c…e38bbacked Yes61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f7d…6aeabacked Yes61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+55.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4443…4efbbacked Yes60c32.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ebf…bad3backed No43c31.59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x105d…8ad6backed Yes61c31.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e8…a953backed Yes60c29.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.93742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-44%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x322f…ade4backed No43c26.24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff4…b712backed Yes59c25.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No63c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.251040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No68c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89051.1%46 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Yes60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152544%11 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f82…102ebacked Yes59c22.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes51c21.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113951.3%20 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7d1…4cb7backed Yes59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8825%2 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-58.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe71…b183backed Yes59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.83652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.