Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris FC vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00dc3076a81273f474e9a0b4e40999c941160dd8c19f4a41d369616ec00ed948
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6327…e181backed Yes | 34c | 1,395$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 1,269$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.46 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 26c | 1,060$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.3 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 70c | 993.78$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.61 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 74c | 821.48$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.46 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 69c | 782.19$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.33 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 32c | 627.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Yes | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 80c | 381$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 177$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 74c | 81.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f12…66f8backed Yes | 25c | 76.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 72c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed Yes | 29c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 70c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 73c | 50.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 33c | 36.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…c02abacked No | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris FC vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Nantes win on 2025-10-24?Yes won
- Will Paris FC win on 2025-10-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.