Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will FC Nantes win on 2025-10-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc805215586c3c3e29045d0275f6918a132a6e29f8dc46d3b15176f150e3e9f7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 39c | 5,120$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.45 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 3,947$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.66 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 56c | 2,890$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.61 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 29c | 1,627$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.64 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 1,614$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.86 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 62c | 1,607$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.34 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 77c | 1,560$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.36 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 31c | 1,515$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 53c | 1,293$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.62 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 38c | 1,107$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.34 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.63 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 32c | 1,016$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.72 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b6…42dcbacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 47c | 877.62$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.84 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 45c | 638.51$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.18 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 40c | 545$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.7 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 43c | 520$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 71c | 484.87$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.2 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 49c | 444.01$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.15 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 18c | 305.56$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 18c | 280.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.78 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 71c | 275$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 17c | 263.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.12 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…88cabacked No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 45c | 247.22$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.72 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 17c | 201.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.26 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked No | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 62c | 197.02$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Yes | 52c | 192.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 17c | 189.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.66 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd58…99bebacked Yes | 73c | 167.77$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 17c | 149.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.84 | 130 | 16.2%21 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5a2bbacked No | 32c | 148.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…1a95backed No | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f34…eeb4backed No | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked No | 41c | 119.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…4fdfbacked No | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 17c | 114.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.38 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…df3abacked Yes | 79c | 92.08$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Yes | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…cff7backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed No | 40c | 79.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9341…0fa0backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 67c | 55.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb79e…47ebbacked Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2c…930dbacked Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 34c | 37.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 52c | 25.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…fcb7backed Yes | 78c | 23.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0c…d370backed No | 79c | 18.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Yes | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Nantes win on 2025-10-24?this page
- Will Paris FC vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?No won
- Will Paris FC win on 2025-10-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.