TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadiensof Canadiens, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$878,682
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$910,856

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $878,682 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 400 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe74a…40eebacked Canadiens41c366,208$149,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216,256.864100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+99.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x98f7…b3e4backed Canadiens38c169,510$65,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,467.9710753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Hurricanes59c100,000$59,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,00038748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Hurricanes62c100,000$62,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,0008354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Hurricanes60c56,595$33,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,95713553.3%72 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Hurricanes61c50,900$30,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,79751452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Canadiens58c49,317$28,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,607.911,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Hurricanes59c46,097$27,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,197.2210451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x654d…8e3ebacked Hurricanes58c30,000$17,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,400742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hurricanes59c26,345$15,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,505.361,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hurricanes58c26,215$15,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,324.22,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Hurricanes16c23,199$3,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,811.7932744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hurricanes60c19,511$11,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,638.371,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Canadiens41c18,162$7,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,72379350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Canadiens38c14,637$5,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,116.5933243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Hurricanes61c12,650$7,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,666.58453.6%45 W · 39 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Hurricanes59c11,800$6,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,997.512648.4%61 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb4…96b0backed Hurricanes61c10,526$6,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,420.821040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Hurricanes48c10,321$4,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,974.1838738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hurricanes59c9,998$5,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,939.041,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Hurricanes61c9,121$5,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,527.8633151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Hurricanes59c8,735$5,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,120.5352050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Canadiens38c8,202$3,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,085.5128251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Hurricanes45c7,953$3,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,573.4841850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hurricanes36c7,316$2,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,662.6689636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Hurricanes59c7,212$4,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,240.9439047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf56d…5fddbacked Hurricanes61c7,014$4,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,278.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4738…df78backed Hurricanes62c6,805$4,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,219.15735.1%20 W · 37 L-13.5wins-0.24per pick59cpaid-40.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x5836…4d03backed Canadiens38c6,579$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,078.958247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Hurricanes62c6,129$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80053050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Canadiens38c6,119$2,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,803.251,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Hurricanes0c6,021$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.637450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Hurricanes63c5,653$3,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,534.5250049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Canadiens37c5,601$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,528.4715953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hurricanes59c5,433$3,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,211.992,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Canadiens41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9501,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Canadiens41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,95061953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Hurricanes59c4,900$2,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8917659.2%45 W · 31 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8ee0…5233backed Hurricanes63c4,860$3,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0622250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Hurricanes63c4,745$3,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,004.5685464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e6f…ffaabacked Canadiens37c4,500$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,83511947.9%57 W · 62 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Hurricanes61c4,365$2,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,653.3693953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Hurricanes59c4,167$2,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,441.6611745.3%53 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Hurricanes60c4,061$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.7426955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hurricanes32c4,000$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2641,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Hurricanes62c3,881$2,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,424.8924654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Canadiens39c3,744$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,283.5926946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hurricanes26c3,733$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.882,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2289…9f26backed Hurricanes61c3,500$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Hurricanes61c3,250$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.532251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Hurricanes46c3,200$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48233345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Canadiens38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,86029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Hurricanes62c3,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,86028652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Hurricanes58c3,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75014945%67 W · 82 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Hurricanes63c2,909$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.5316447.6%78 W · 86 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Hurricanes61c2,885$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76011953.8%64 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Hurricanes62c2,840$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.882043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hurricanes59c2,685$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,58483149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Canadiens40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50028152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Hurricanes59c2,500$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47523751.5%122 W · 115 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Hurricanes61c2,500$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52561748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df3…53d7backed Canadiens61c2,391$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.42955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hurricanes62c2,262$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.547951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Hurricanes25c2,168$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55018840.4%76 W · 112 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Hurricanes75c2,140$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.3215057.3%86 W · 64 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Hurricanes60c2,113$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.5964242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Hurricanes30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Hurricanes59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1802740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46e…e1abbacked Canadiens33c1,964$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+120.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe18b…8006backed Hurricanes1c1,772$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hurricanes62c1,700$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.971,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hurricanes62c1,699$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.751,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hurricanes59c1,674$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.881,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Canadiens39c1,600$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97624845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Hurricanes60c1,600$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96060249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Hurricanes58c1,500$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87036038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x019e…af1dbacked Hurricanes63c1,500$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9455154.9%28 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Canadiens39c1,500$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.9768449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Canadiens69c1,498$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.418845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x283d…0dadbacked Hurricanes34c1,467$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Canadiens52c1,400$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.121,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb080…5eddbacked Hurricanes60c1,339$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.416246.9%76 W · 86 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f92…1862backed Hurricanes62c1,290$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002123.8%5 W · 16 L-6.6wins-0.31per pick55cpaid-57.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x66c9…2e68backed Canadiens79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.824778.7%37 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick71cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Hurricanes58c1,250$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.558352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Hurricanes77c1,167$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.0857157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Hurricanes62c1,148$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.7925447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Hurricanes61c1,141$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70039649.5%196 W · 200 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Hurricanes21c1,123$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.4948452.3%253 W · 231 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Canadiens57c1,064$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.1152172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Hurricanes60c1,048$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.821,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb433…f543backed Hurricanes59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e58…3864backed Hurricanes59c979.8$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.086246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Canadiens57c872.01$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.134047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Hurricanes63c840$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.5816346%75 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Canadiens63c836.87$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.551,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Hurricanes63c730$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.92846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea31…f286backed Canadiens40c701.97$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.21560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Hurricanes62c700$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43421147.4%100 W · 111 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Canadiens58c684$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.2862951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.