NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56db82f0f8651ca43b0512c4584cd098b471e34d4aab797ec3dd2423c68e02e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 54c | 1,854$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Over | 46c | 1,414$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.4 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 1,091$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.05 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 54c | 444$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.76 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 46c | 265$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.1 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 46c | 230$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 51c | 224.49$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.49 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +13.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 57c | 99.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 46c | 62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 46c | 58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 33c | 37.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…9efebacked Under | 56c | 36.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 55c | 36.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 44c | 33.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 45c | 33.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5this page
- Canadiens vs. HurricanesCanadiens won
- Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.