NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc0c7d71b0a6fba179e4b37db95648faa37eadbfb48e611006c92a0ec30b12d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Thunder, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,428,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,479,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,428,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 607 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 32c | 79,045$25,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,883.28 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Nuggets | 25c | 71,130$17,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,459.91 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Nuggets | 33c | 69,096$22,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,564.22 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Nuggets | 40c | 56,988$22,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,354.17 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Thunder | 68c | 55,555$37,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,777.35 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Thunder | 67c | 54,190$36,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,307.01 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Nuggets | 34c | 53,190$17,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,335.65 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Thunder | 59c | 42,684$25,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,192.31 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nuggets | 52c | 39,406$20,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,808.94 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Nuggets | 32c | 30,069$9,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,496.14 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Thunder | 66c | 27,772$18,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,298.57 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Thunder | 55c | 25,975$14,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,249.29 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Thunder | 70c | 25,290$17,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,818.22 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Thunder | 70c | 25,157$17,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,674.76 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Nuggets | 33c | 24,000$7,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,119.76 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Thunder | 38c | 22,032$8,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,363.33 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 64c | 21,574$13,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,831.89 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Thunder | 68c | 21,445$14,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,582.54 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nuggets | 31c | 20,094$6,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,876.74 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Thunder | 71c | 20,055$14,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,239.02 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 32c | 19,306$6,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,053.52 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Nuggets | 30c | 17,226$5,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,974.89 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder | 65c | 15,842$10,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,297.15 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Thunder | 55c | 14,789$8,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,137.15 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Nuggets | 49c | 14,533$7,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,458.53 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Thunder | 68c | 13,327$9,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,062.08 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Thunder | 61c | 11,984$7,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,349.49 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Nuggets | 49c | 10,665$5,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,391.71 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +9.7wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Thunder | 57c | 10,549$6,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,008.34 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nuggets | 29c | 10,515$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,495.92 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Nuggets | 29c | 10,359$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,359.41 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f74…a238backed Thunder | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Nuggets | 32c | 9,970$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,779.71 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x322d…305fbacked Nuggets | 31c | 9,757$3,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,702.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Nuggets | 33c | 9,600$3,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,455.97 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Thunder | 71c | 8,935$6,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,343.02 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Thunder | 0c | 8,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Nuggets | 29c | 8,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,680 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Thunder | 44c | 7,375$3,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,267.3 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Thunder | 47c | 7,237$3,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410.24 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188d…6583backed Thunder | 1c | 6,634$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Thunder | 61c | 6,569$3,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,989 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Nuggets | 32c | 6,400$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,352 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Thunder | 74c | 6,371$4,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,704.48 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nuggets | 37c | 6,335$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,013.43 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Nuggets | 32c | 6,250$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed Nuggets | 28c | 5,909$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,254.28 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nuggets | 32c | 5,327$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,622.64 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Thunder | 2c | 5,129$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.58 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Nuggets | 29c | 5,045$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600.05 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Nuggets | 32c | 4,822$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,279.18 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Nuggets | 33c | 4,601$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104.03 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nuggets | 30c | 4,500$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…3b0cbacked Nuggets | 56c | 4,354$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Nuggets | 25c | 4,013$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,012.96 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Nuggets | 31c | 3,926$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.27 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Nuggets | 32c | 3,890$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.2 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Nuggets | 61c | 3,717$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.86 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Thunder | 3c | 3,568$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.11 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Thunder | 70c | 3,553$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,486.83 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nuggets | 26c | 3,430$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,553.27 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Thunder | 73c | 3,422$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.74 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Thunder | 71c | 3,242$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.78 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34e…895ebacked Nuggets | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Thunder | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Nuggets | 31c | 2,950$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.98 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Nuggets | 34c | 2,825$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.84 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder | 68c | 2,711$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.83 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nuggets | 30c | 2,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.9 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed Nuggets | 43c | 2,527$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.63 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Thunder | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fc…c1e8backed Nuggets | 34c | 2,491$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x315e…5336backed Thunder | 35c | 2,269$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Nuggets | 27c | 2,225$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…8756backed Nuggets | 33c | 2,222$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Thunder | 66c | 2,181$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.36 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 65c | 2,100$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.97 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Thunder | 72c | 2,099$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.32 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Thunder | 67c | 2,005$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.35 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Thunder | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Nuggets | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Nuggets | 30c | 2,000$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.7 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Nuggets | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Thunder | 64c | 2,000$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Thunder | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.98 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa247…9c4cbacked Thunder | 69c | 1,909$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Nuggets | 27c | 1,900$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Thunder | 72c | 1,890$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.07 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Thunder | 57c | 1,832$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.77 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…bbbdbacked Nuggets | 30c | 1,800$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Nuggets | 34c | 1,791$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.77 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,733$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.65 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Nuggets | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.14 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Nuggets | 42c | 1,696$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.89 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…1eecbacked Nuggets | 30c | 1,692$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Nuggets | 24c | 1,655$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.15 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Nuggets | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.9 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Nuggets | 30c | 1,605$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.49 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Nuggets | 28c | 1,539$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.7 | 266 | 59%157 W · 109 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 50c | 1,521$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.43 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Nuggetsthis page
- Over 228.5Under won
- Over 231.5Under won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.