TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$734,594
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$757,518

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $734,594 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 612 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83b9…6124backed Yes70c113,842$79,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,765.4520039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No36c78,731$28,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,118.026,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes70c65,187$45,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,871.1314544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No30c40,912$12,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,492.4335758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x576d…767dbacked Yes69c40,039$27,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,626.91450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No31c40,000$12,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,599.9718958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x220c…43c8backed No31c40,000$12,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,599.89966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No29c39,936$11,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,418.3530851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes57c37,346$21,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,287.196357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked No35c32,037$11,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,83511155.9%62 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…429cbacked Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes71c22,167$15,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,696.321,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No31c19,374$6,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,367.989450%47 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No43c19,167$8,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,925.3518950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No31c15,687$4,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,824.321154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No31c14,652$4,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,109.8420140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Yes69c13,377$9,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,182.463644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes69c10,843$7,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,481.418948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No31c10,760$3,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,424.4679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked No30c9,648$2,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,733.59560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+57%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No31c9,500$2,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,554.9935652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No31c8,849$2,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,105.9715949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bff…ffbebacked No30c7,982$2,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,587.581050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeadc…e41dbacked Yes70c7,660$5,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,332.871250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes48c7,217$3,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,432.64,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4a…4ef5backed No31c7,100$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,898.97933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes75c7,029$5,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,244.033718.9%7 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-63.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No31c7,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,809.9440046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9755…eab0backed Yes69c6,381$4,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,403.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes70c6,328$4,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,414.6227235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ce3…3bc3backed Yes70c6,025$4,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,241.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No31c5,194$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.979263%58 W · 34 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No31c5,000$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4507256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes70c4,868$3,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,407.2528070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No29c4,786$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,397.9528355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No28c4,760$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,411.8479639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes75c4,160$3,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,121.1928736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb0…2fd8backed Yes70c3,520$2,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,453.181060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes70c3,213$2,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,242.994650%23 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3770…8229backed Yes69c3,200$2,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6582…6533backed No32c3,200$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1762100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+148.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f7…c6b5backed No32c3,100$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1082100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+148.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3538…f361backed Yes69c3,100$2,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,13920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27d3…0430backed No32c3,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0402100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+148.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xced7…39d5backed Yes69c3,000$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,07020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No29c3,000$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,13037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No32c2,902$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,961.249254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No32c2,898$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.8210236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Yes70c2,860$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.174870.8%34 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No28c2,800$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.9617833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes69c2,710$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,870.2141437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No30c2,567$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.2346651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No30c2,400$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.6431655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes43c2,221$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.0345936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1603256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cfc…4194backed Yes55c1,814$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6775…17efbacked Yes68c1,757$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No33c1,515$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.1520447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No29c1,500$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.3329427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No37c1,500$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.5556453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9386…fdfebacked Yes53c1,490$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.182774.1%20 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b6d…58f6backed Yes69c1,472$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.472948.3%14 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick67cpaid-32.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes69c1,455$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.834447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007060%42 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2839…0efebacked Yes69c1,448$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9991952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No31c1,445$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.4551542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa65…f481backed Yes70c1,429$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes64c1,300$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83021656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcac4…bf62backed Yes69c1,287$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd495…248ebacked Yes71c1,268$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes70c1,257$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.5830666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes56c1,241$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.5812642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ef…f3dfbacked No32c1,228$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b61…35abbacked Yes69c1,227$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2b3…c36cbacked Yes69c1,200$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x588b…c2bdbacked No31c1,200$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No29c1,141$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.9812136.4%44 W · 77 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0891…f906backed Yes71c1,123$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48d9…227fbacked Yes69c1,106$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.371010%1 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick28cpaid-78.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes46c1,085$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes69c1,084$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.9115060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes49c1,070$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.436833.8%23 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6327…e181backed Yes70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69a7…ef6bbacked No32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6801361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed No32c999.99$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.996346%29 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes70c971.43$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6805154.9%28 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa905…fcf1backed Yes69c964$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick71cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes68c922.04$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62812545.6%57 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ca…7229backed Yes50c921$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.52744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39b5…cf5fbacked Yes68c914.8$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.24531.1%14 W · 31 L-8.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xda91…6cc9backed Yes63c896.63$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.082445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1234…9bd1backed Yes69c869.57$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004037.5%15 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes58c855.53$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.817230.6%22 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7965…49fdbacked Yes71c853.12$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed No43c851.96$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.621258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No31c819.68$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.5824566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes68c813.38$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.118929.1%55 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes69c800$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5527844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes69c800$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55240953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes67c790.12$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.381,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.