Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd9a8d91124fc5f4bf4ec2732575310aa978940622a79ca476d7e631cf443203
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 73c | 17,078$12,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,459.48 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 30c | 8,318$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,839.81 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 25c | 5,000$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,774.78 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 4,949$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,092.22 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 80c | 4,680$3,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3643…27c0backed Yes | 21c | 4,581$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 56c | 3,885$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.97 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 3,157$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.58 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 20c | 3,017$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.47 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 79c | 2,287$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.32 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 80c | 1,676$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.79 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d22…d5d5backed Yes | 79c | 1,644$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.05 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 73c | 1,448$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.95 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 80c | 1,343$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.4 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 19c | 1,221$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 80c | 1,110$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Yes | 75c | 865.08$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.81 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 21c | 664.01$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.91 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 39c | 560.25$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…3cfbbacked No | 80c | 555$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 20c | 500.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed Yes | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…4694backed Yes | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…e38dbacked No | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…1661backed Yes | 60c | 398.01$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…05d0backed Yes | 77c | 391.7$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.61 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…3c12backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 21c | 366.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked No | 39c | 307.69$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.69 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked No | 79c | 297.56$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.49 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 76c | 285.13$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.97 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9949…46bebacked Yes | 78c | 281.39$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed Yes | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 66c | 234.12$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.52 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 23c | 211$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +165.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Yes | 20c | 185$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…8c50backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa268…d60bbacked Yes | 20c | 160$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…2e08backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Yes | 41c | 146.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…55c9backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Yes | 52c | 118.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5b…0cfcbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…70c5backed Yes | 78c | 109.78$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.63 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 43c | 96.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 61c | 91.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 74c | 67.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…2749backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…ed14backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…c236backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…2704backed Yes | 63c | 48.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…b061backed Yes | 78c | 46.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 67cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed No | 55c | 40.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1c…fedabacked Yes | 67c | 37.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa62…df35backed Yes | 30c | 35.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…435cbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…d42fbacked Yes | 44c | 22.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…84d8backed Yes | 62c | 18.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d2…f38bbacked Yes | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1f…30a5backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 79cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1aa…93febacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?No won
- Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.