TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xda91…6cc9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$41.58
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+284.6%+$853.85
Fulham vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$143.77
Fulham vs. Crystal Palace: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+78.6%+$196.43
Will Brighton win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,225
Brighton vs. West Ham: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+72.4%+$54.37
Will Leeds United vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+733.3%+$528
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Leeds United vs. Liverpool: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+194.1%+$248.41
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$260.26
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$704Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$704.15
Will Everton vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$230
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+177.8%+$650.67
Everton vs. Newcastle: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+92.3%+$285.34
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+104.1%+$462.06
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$64.69
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$567.08
Spread: Leeds United (-0.5)backed West Ham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$399.96
Leeds United vs. West Ham: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$294.88
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,158Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,158
Will Arsenal vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$1,403.2
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$241.71
Will Fulham win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$677Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$827.51
Will Liverpool vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 24 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick48cpaid-57.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$430.18
Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$163.61
Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$688Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$688.28
Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+122.2%+$428.5
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$390
Athletic Club vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$204
Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$299.84
Will Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,150
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,767Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,766.6
Will Girona win on 2025-09-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Will Girona vs. Espanyol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$858Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+135.1%+$1,159.81
Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,147Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+34.9%+$748.95
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$346
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+64.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-49.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$34.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+354.5%+$1,065.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Türkiye win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,009Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$592.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+47.1%+$67.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$209.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lille OSC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$784.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.