Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Leeds United (-0.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a4b52d53e65b6667ff3eed771f6e7f156daf01eecc6e9a63c40fe2edf14f876
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leeds Unitedof Leeds United, West Ham
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Leeds United | 53c | 3,563$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.4 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed West Ham | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Leeds United | 54c | 2,827$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.67 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed West Ham | 46c | 1,992$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.3 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeadc…e41dbacked West Ham | 49c | 1,423$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Leeds United | 52c | 1,046$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.69 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a7…9cb1backed Leeds United | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…6cc9backed West Ham | 48c | 833.25$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…1abcbacked West Ham | 48c | 418.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Leeds United | 51c | 364.47$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.59 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Leeds United | 52c | 299.5$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.76 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed West Ham | 51c | 242$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.71 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Leeds United | 52c | 213$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.22 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed West Ham | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfa…7da5backed West Ham | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed Leeds United | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Leeds United | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…3b9dbacked West Ham | 48c | 41.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed West Ham | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a88…f38abacked West Ham | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…9729backed West Ham | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…49aabacked West Ham | 51c | 39.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…9d4ebacked West Ham | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcba…04ddbacked Leeds United | 54c | 30.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Leeds United | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Leeds United | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x808b…48c8backed Leeds United | 55c | 18.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Leeds United (-0.5)this page
- Leeds United vs. West Ham: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.