Premier League · resolved market
Leeds United vs. West Ham: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb615917ba99b58c8a6df0f92bb80e7e1b090258401b6283a076196c952395f9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 48c | 12,425$5,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,470.76 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 52c | 11,597$6,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,030.2 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Over | 47c | 8,000$3,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,210 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 4,311$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.43 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 52c | 3,219$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.75 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Over | 48c | 2,000$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.3 | 202 | 46.5%94 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 52c | 1,452$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.01 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 52c | 1,111$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.6 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 53c | 888$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.64 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3357…42fabacked Over | 50c | 699.63$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 50c | 585.11$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.55 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…6cc9backed Over | 48c | 567.08$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.88 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Under | 53c | 498.18$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.04 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…d762backed Over | 48c | 496.21$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…5696backed Under | 52c | 488.06$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 48c | 450$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Over | 45c | 225.45$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd798…b210backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…22d2backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 44c | 150.78$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 46c | 109$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 49c | 88.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under | 57c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…26a3backed Over | 50c | 65.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Under | 57c | 65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…a136backed Under | 53c | 61.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c3…f46ebacked Under | 55c | 43.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x241c…5407backed Over | 48c | 41.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f8…b10dbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557f…efa5backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Under | 53c | 24.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…763dbacked Under | 53c | 22.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked Under | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6635…ffcbbacked Under | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5692…3210backed Over | 50c | 20.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x808b…48c8backed Over | 50c | 20.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafff…19b2backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leeds United vs. West Ham: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Leeds United (-0.5)Leeds United won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.