La Liga · resolved market
Athletic Club vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde13642acb52ecd4e85c0ed0572abc72d68c57a88686b03eb4c07d54f090e06c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 17c | 8,428$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.04 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Under | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…07d5backed Over | 45c | 1,791$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 78c | 1,762$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.31 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Over | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…e6a2backed Under | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 68c | 959.08$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.32 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Under | 58c | 958.62$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.62 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x833a…5d74backed Over | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 16c | 693.19$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.91 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Over | 44c | 661.11$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…e66abacked Over | 45c | 615.69$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…6cc9backed Over | 45c | 453.33$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Under | 57c | 184.82$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 44c | 168.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 44c | 150$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 149.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…f4ebbacked Over | 44c | 143.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Over | 30c | 131$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…2d66backed Over | 46c | 123.91$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Under | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0d…4a6abacked Over | 44c | 110.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 57c | 108.77$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…8398backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 57c | 82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…0fcdbacked Under | 68c | 73.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 57c | 72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47d3…4255backed Over | 46c | 67.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Over | 43c | 63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…cb5ebacked Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…973fbacked Under | 58c | 39.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6881…525dbacked Under | 69c | 35.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…231cbacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…48bbbacked Over | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Over | 43c | 29.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 43c | 28.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked Over | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 43c | 26.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Under | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…fb19backed Under | 57c | 24.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletic Club vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 2.5this page
- Athletic Club vs. Atletico Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Athletic Club vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 1.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Atletico Madrid (-1.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.