La Liga · resolved market
Athletic Club vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb314d0e28a9c40a7fa73aa61346ae62d761f2cfc4b355def75ec1e8f7f07fad0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 31,034$17,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,028.09 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Over | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,999.73 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 24c | 12,650$3,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b5…0f8cbacked Over | 12c | 11,123$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 59c | 6,498$3,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.76 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 71c | 5,954$4,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.62 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Over | 71c | 5,600$3,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975.98 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 61c | 1,863$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.82 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 28c | 1,181$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.07 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Over | 39c | 1,128$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 20c | 1,000$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.43 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf70a…541dbacked Over | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…07d5backed Over | 37c | 989.39$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Over | 72c | 871.14$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.22 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Over | 61c | 414.33$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Over | 12c | 399.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +284.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 33c | 398$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.15 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Under | 61c | 355.2$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.53 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 40c | 230$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 20c | 224.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 30c | 207$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.9 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 68c | 162.45$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.25 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 47c | 159.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e898backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Over | 18c | 133$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…2d66backed Over | 61c | 132.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Over | 57c | 126$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Over | 70c | 104.79$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef4…3405backed Over | 40c | 90.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 45c | 88.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 25c | 80.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 70c | 75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…0fcdbacked Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Over | 70c | 72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 29c | 69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3425…84a6backed Under | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 53c | 65.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Under | 30c | 64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Over | 70c | 58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x833a…5d74backed Over | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 30c | 54.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Over | 70c | 52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 30c | 50.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 24c | 43.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 53c | 39.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Under | 33c | 37.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…f6e4backed Over | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56a…a485backed Under | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Over | 70c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…6e99backed Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletic Club vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 1.5this page
- Athletic Club vs. Atletico Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Athletic Club vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 2.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Atletico Madrid (-1.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.