TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa384…f6e4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
198
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT4358.1%25 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$44.84
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$10
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$83.25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$117.88
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.75
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$124.9
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$28
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+79.4%+$45.73
Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+61.3%+$18.39
Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$97.75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+25.2%+$36.09
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+74%+$79.21
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+51.5%+$34
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT4055%22 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail Blazers backed Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$66.64
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$9.3
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+163.2%+$81.58
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$116
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+52.7%+$34.5
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+27.7%+$15.2
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$58.4
Kings vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.4
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+35.1%+$13
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$12.8
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT3956.4%22 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$79.92
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.74
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$33.89
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$62.05
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$28.59
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$28.08
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+40.8%+$63.8
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+51.8%+$137.52
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$33.29
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$38.76
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+35.4%+$15.7
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3557.1%20 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.47
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.71
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$24.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$187.2
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+37.1%+$26
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+39.9%+$37.14
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.6%+$47.8
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+28.2%+$7.05
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+37%+$12.95
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$32.5
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+51.5%+$15.45
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$80
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$16.15
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$49.7
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+46.5%+$23.27
FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$124
Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+43.1%+$21.1
Athletic Club vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-42.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.57
France to score first vs. England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Argentina to score first vs. Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+102%+$51.01
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spain to score first vs. Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$81.98
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$88.99
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madridbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.34
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Anadolu Efesbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+80%+$88.77
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. BC Dubaibacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+65.8%+$16.45
Monaco vs. Real Madridbacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+69.5%+$10.25
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbannebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+71.4%+$70.8
Virtus Bologna vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Virtus Bologna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+49.3%+$19.21
Fenerbahce vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25
BC Dubai vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+37%+$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.