TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Mavericks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Rockets, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,931,581
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,844,805

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,931,581 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 757 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x82a1…e03abacked Mavericks31c566,803$175,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391,803.045952.5%31 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Rockets69c297,760$206,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206,650.641,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32a2…99b9backed Rockets0c116,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x564f…1795backed Mavericks28c100,000$28,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,999.93839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Rockets50c75,000$37,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,799.9938248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Rockets68c65,328$44,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,423.3526753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Mavericks28c52,703$14,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,146.731,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Rockets70c45,021$31,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,514.7914052.1%73 W · 67 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Rockets71c40,000$28,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,40059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Rockets72c37,527$26,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,953.2744459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Rockets72c28,895$20,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,804.6347751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf963…0637backed Mavericks25c28,772$7,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,436.334742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Mavericks28c25,103$6,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,125.5519351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rockets69c24,417$16,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,936.315,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8166…6770backed Rockets44c21,000$9,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,3002759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets70c20,476$14,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,380.519,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mavericks28c20,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,40066853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc62a…c2c7backed Rockets72c20,000$14,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,4003063.3%19 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Mavericks28c19,992$5,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,394.1135235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Mavericks41c18,888$7,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,166.0927251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets73c17,303$12,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,709.952,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rockets25c17,283$4,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,301.741,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Rockets64c16,518$10,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,571.1226038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Rockets31c16,321$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003411.8%4 W · 30 L-8.5wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-62%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Rockets69c16,080$11,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,102.532,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Mavericks29c13,875$4,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,851.0987144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets19c13,684$2,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,593.758,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bcd…04a4backed Rockets34c13,488$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6005745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Rockets76c13,158$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00034062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Rockets67c12,529$8,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,394.3222458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Mavericks29c11,164$3,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,942.781,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Rockets65c11,067$7,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,218.973,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Rockets70c11,025$7,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,758.5772450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks24c11,001$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,361.154,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e8f…52f4backed Rockets32c10,074$3,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,211.11520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d56…7486backed Rockets71c10,028$7,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,12017861.2%109 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd538…cc31backed Mavericks30c10,028$3,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,019.3221450%107 W · 107 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Rockets72c10,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,199.9831445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Mavericks28c10,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,199.9518045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd475…3327backed Rockets62c9,693$6,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,042.7540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rockets34c9,375$3,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,167.4281529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rockets7c9,181$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.281,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Mavericks45c9,152$4,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,997.269336.6%34 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Rockets76c8,928$6,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,759.5655346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets32c8,767$2,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,846.34,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacb…28b7backed Rockets70c8,700$6,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,117475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4110…42a9backed Mavericks30c8,700$2,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,117714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Rockets73c8,469$6,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,168.982,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Rockets1c8,152$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.521,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea34…0a92backed Mavericks26c7,544$1,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,582.626654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Rockets71c7,267$5,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,139.612,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Rockets69c7,166$4,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,944.844452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Rockets72c6,617$4,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,764.336953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Rockets1c6,173$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.917211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Mavericks36c5,557$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,55738649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Rockets50c5,478$2,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,745.9830348.2%146 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…6158backed Rockets14c5,244$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.51241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Rockets77c5,013$3,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,86015855.7%88 W · 70 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Mavericks29c5,000$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,55012144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Mavericks28c5,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,60045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a9…e2aebacked Rockets6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Rockets72c4,500$3,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,22016749.1%82 W · 85 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Rockets66c4,418$2,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,929.327050%35 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Rockets68c4,417$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Rockets66c4,303$2,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,855.3848046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Mavericks47c4,260$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,260.2413153.4%70 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Rockets76c4,200$3,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1929260.9%56 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8a4…75c1backed Rockets69c4,130$2,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,852.8812858.6%75 W · 53 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Rockets77c4,000$3,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,093.461851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb8…43f6backed Mavericks23c4,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,079.947236.1%26 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Rockets71c3,978$2,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,841.862,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Rockets4c3,915$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.23,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Mavericks46c3,895$1,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120.4685344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1a4…e9adbacked Rockets67c3,500$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3304535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Rockets71c3,500$2,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,484.9962351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Rockets29c3,449$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98312238.5%47 W · 75 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Mavericks30c3,422$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.6517354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac6…9e2fbacked Rockets1c3,340$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253030%9 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Rockets72c3,333$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.7628850.3%145 W · 143 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Rockets0c3,300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.221723.5%51 W · 166 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Mavericks36c3,167$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,016.5531044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Rockets72c3,152$2,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,269.469852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks26c3,100$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3031,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Mavericks24c3,084$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,344.227424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Rockets72c3,062$2,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,191.811,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f00…8982backed Rockets77c2,978$2,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,293.034676.1%35 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Mavericks34c2,964$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.1524038.3%92 W · 148 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Rockets62c2,918$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.761,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Mavericks24c2,883$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,190.8822637.2%84 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff3…6667backed Rockets78c2,819$2,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,202.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb322…2179backed Mavericks30c2,693$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.334040%16 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3605…1ae1backed Rockets33c2,679$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.0423043%99 W · 131 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Rockets56c2,600$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45616540%66 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks43c2,560$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.115,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Rockets77c2,544$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.8834942.7%149 W · 200 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6a…2ed5backed Rockets46c2,501$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1501275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+42%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Rockets76c2,500$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90016641%68 W · 98 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Rockets71c2,500$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,77585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Rockets31c2,430$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.148146.2%222 W · 259 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42cb…8412backed Mavericks44c2,412$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.767259.7%43 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.