NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff004332beb0721ecfa75866e8020c408e5c46a92857023c3e35444b906e187f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 52c | 47,797$24,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,806.31 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 52c | 12,198$6,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,854.92 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Over | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.99 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 47c | 6,799$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,603.41 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 50c | 4,831$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.5 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 4,023$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.04 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 3,552$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.5 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 47c | 1,508$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.45 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…5862backed Under | 49c | 1,498$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 1,448$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.9 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Under | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Over | 47c | 1,413$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.77 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 1,233$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.83 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 49c | 840.8$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.66 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Under | 11c | 800$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Over | 54c | 650$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Over | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 49c | 583$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.45 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 47c | 557$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.21 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 500$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 47c | 455$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.15 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 44c | 414.5$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.12 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb457…b13abacked Under | 49c | 409.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 48c | 400$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 43c | 187.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 179.25$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…9811backed Over | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Under | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 53c | 143$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 50c | 116$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 49c | 111$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…f93cbacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Over | 50c | 80.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Under | 46c | 79.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Under | 56c | 79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 51c | 63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Over | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Over | 51c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…4c7abacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf9…fbc2backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Over | 44c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Over | 46c | 27.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5this page
- Rockets vs. MavericksMavericks won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 220.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 221.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 224.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.