Champions League · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x988c7c2ca7d514a12b2771d249725bc69c6191b9d33de613bd875688f703f261
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 17,514$7,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,138.35 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 20c | 12,868$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538.58 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Over | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.61 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 20c | 7,902$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,321.47 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdb…461abacked Over | 24c | 3,319$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under | 19c | 1,511$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.5 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Under | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -9.9wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 811.91$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.33 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 63c | 649.9$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.09 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 20c | 590.63$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Under | 20c | 557.85$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.63 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Over | 59c | 476.29$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.95 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 18c | 456.93$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.3 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 18c | 443.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.06 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 45c | 331.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.86 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…8d99backed Over | 61c | 260$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…bfffbacked Over | 59c | 233.92$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb0…cfdabacked Over | 59c | 231.53$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 34c | 187.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 20c | 169.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.31 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 19c | 155$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…bce6backed Over | 51c | 150$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…cb5ebacked Over | 29c | 119.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 20c | 111$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Over | 25c | 108.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 43c | 95.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…fb8fbacked Over | 45c | 94.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 75c | 93.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 28c | 82.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…f879backed Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Over | 80c | 60.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…349cbacked Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 23c | 50.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…f6e4backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 40c | 47.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed Over | 24c | 46.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 40.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 198 | 56.6%112 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…eff7backed Over | 54c | 28.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 50c | 24.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a5…7e15backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 77c | 13.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…3fbdbacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +779.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.