Champions League · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73b3fb5a31de22df92687c2f26d925ea4c78bca4c6c647fc17bc824d36c8f933
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 74c | 10,100$7,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.85 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 9c | 8,863$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.16 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 12c | 4,115$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.43 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 3,614$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.65 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef45…1905backed Over | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 34c | 1,600$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 76c | 1,234$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.21 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Under | 65c | 1,231$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.77 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Under | 69c | 1,097$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.95 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 76c | 872.18$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.18 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 65c | 712$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.2 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 63c | 444$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.28 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Over | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 14c | 352.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdb…461abacked Over | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Over | 20c | 263.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 16c | 229.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Under | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Over | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Under | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb967…65edbacked Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…fd61backed Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Under | 68c | 116.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Over | 14c | 115.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 64c | 93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 31c | 84.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…025cbacked Under | 65c | 63.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Over | 37c | 59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8153…c439backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 74c | 51.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Under | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Under | 63c | 49.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Over | 36c | 43.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Over | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Under | 65c | 38.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 35c | 37.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Over | 35c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b33…6c89backed Over | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -74%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…44f9backed Under | 66c | 15.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.