TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6590…fb8f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+376.6%+$211.95
Over $500K committed to the Foresee public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$579.9
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+152%+$151.98
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+457.8%+$191.41
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$41.42
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$98.03
Over $2M committed to the Bitway public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+120%+$120
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+85.9%+$103.11
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+75.6%+$100.61
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+58%+$174.02
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+27.3%+$165.88
Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+35.1%+$41.11
HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$444
HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$186
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13.7
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$166.03
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$28.13
Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Over $1.5M committed to the Makina public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$227.99
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+296%+$41.45
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.65
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.82
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.68
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$45.26
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$321.21
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+150.8%+$46.75
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$571Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$351.34
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$120.85
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$221.09
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$94.06
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$53.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$156.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$114.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.