Token Launches · resolved market
Over $500K committed to the Foresee public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa2a3334cd1a13e4c14c6e6a9d58bcbb94622365acc3bc86b6952b6723643054
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15ce…03c5backed No | 58c | 17,691$10,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,422.32 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f0…d9cfbacked Yes | 45c | 16,106$7,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,228.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc3…8548backed No | 54c | 8,974$4,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,171.23 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…9e7abacked Yes | 43c | 8,000$3,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,470 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…c600backed Yes | 49c | 6,678$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…f332backed No | 44c | 4,270$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.49 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 41c | 4,000$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.1 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,793$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked No | 63c | 2,687$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.95 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8074…5c76backed Yes | 47c | 2,349$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…da43backed No | 50c | 2,286$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.27 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…b3eebacked Yes | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 54c | 1,739$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.31 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 45c | 1,681$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.88 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…99e7backed Yes | 39c | 1,612$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.3 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…b608backed No | 50c | 1,309$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.09 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +340.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…fb8fbacked Yes | 48c | 1,214$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.9 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7371…cadebacked No | 75c | 1,150$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.5 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…64c3backed No | 38c | 1,046$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.9 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bf…7c67backed Yes | 32c | 1,024$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.51 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 64c | 962.77$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.01 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 15c | 916.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.73 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…6bf8backed No | 57c | 883.31$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.31 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +10.5wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Yes | 61c | 860$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eed…955dbacked Yes | 52c | 820$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa0…3308backed Yes | 61c | 800$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…c962backed Yes | 54c | 748$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.82 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 9c | 701.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.46 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f69…3d5ebacked No | 59c | 696.51$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…63c3backed No | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc9…851cbacked Yes | 39c | 641$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed No | 42c | 599.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…37ccbacked Yes | 40c | 588.72$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…e5f6backed No | 58c | 543.16$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.69 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…6a0cbacked Yes | 33c | 500$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 25c | 491.01$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.64 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x327e…4e9bbacked Yes | 47c | 487.38$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf05…2a23backed Yes | 8c | 408.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed No | 38c | 406.83$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.23 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 50c | 401.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.45 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…ffd4backed No | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 37c | 393.08$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.18 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed No | 27c | 385.65$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.52 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…8993backed Yes | 57c | 380.17$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.57 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 25c | 379.34$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.29 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed No | 58c | 365.69$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8271…1b26backed Yes | 8c | 362.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 10c | 324.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa9…4baabacked No | 40c | 316.58$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.03 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked No | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…b16dbacked No | 62c | 298.74$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.74 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1585…7633backed Yes | 68c | 295.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…b3c1backed Yes | 14c | 295.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf17…6cc6backed No | 64c | 293$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.48 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +8.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…c4e3backed No | 78c | 288.93$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…3d10backed No | 38c | 268.67$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x432b…0806backed No | 75c | 264.47$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 54c | 250.93$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.32 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed No | 30c | 250$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 24cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 72c | 241.42$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda57…e628backed Yes | 55c | 236.36$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.12 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abe…6c5ebacked Yes | 17c | 220$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…1ef4backed Yes | 67c | 218.01$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.07 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x525e…8498backed No | 46c | 218$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…a510backed No | 62c | 200.83$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…abe4backed No | 68c | 200.36$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d7…8db5backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…9890backed No | 74c | 200$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Yes | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec3…f32bbacked Yes | 40c | 198.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd358…f5ecbacked No | 69c | 184.71$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd462…29b4backed Yes | 68c | 183.9$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.75 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9f…a400backed Yes | 16c | 181.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…5f4cbacked No | 61c | 159.56$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe19f…707bbacked Yes | 70c | 156.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c93…21c2backed Yes | 33c | 153.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 41cpaid | -84%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfe…8131backed Yes | 36c | 153.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc05f…9b56backed Yes | 66c | 151.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c8…2f5abacked No | 67c | 148.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 46c | 140.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…c659backed Yes | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 77c | 129.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -52%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…3762backed No | 41c | 123.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4c…a5f0backed Yes | 23c | 120.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…6afabacked No | 68c | 114.37$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 18c | 111.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde2…a2cdbacked No | 76c | 106.78$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f85…e93cbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 124 | 3.2%4 W · 120 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 123 | 4.1%5 W · 118 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…2b0abacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 59c | 93.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b14…5d9cbacked Yes | 49c | 89.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…7a4bbacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed Yes | 33c | 89.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 72 | 15.3%11 W · 61 L | -17.0wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc8…8f53backed No | 57c | 84.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $500K committed to the Foresee public sale?this page
- Over $10M committed to the Foresee public sale?No won
- Over $1M committed to the Foresee public sale?No won
- Over $200K committed to the Foresee public sale?Yes won
- Over $2M committed to the Foresee public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the Foresee public sale?No won
- Over $5M committed to the Foresee public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.