TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd9f…a400

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST2055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+69.5%+$6.97
Spurs vs. Nets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+100%+$10.19
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$25.19
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$12.02
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.47
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.57
76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+122.2%+$18.7
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+98%+$25.99
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+83.2%+$41.86
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.88
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13.02
76ers vs. Timberwolvesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+76.5%+$27.39
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.81
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40.6
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20.21
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20.35
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 20 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+112.3%+$11.46
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.07
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+251.5%+$78.17
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.47
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+125.4%+$31.54
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+109.7%+$11.9
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.28
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+232.9%+$122.39
Espresso FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.36
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30.76
Over $500K committed to the Foresee public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$28.64
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be less than 3m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.83
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.67
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.46
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.6
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.23
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+41%+$8.18
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 52% and 54%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+58.9%+$5.94
Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.38
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.36
All 11 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+70.8%+$28.7
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+71.3%+$77.52
Will France win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.67
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.39
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35.16
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+56.2%+$14.12
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25.88
Will Eileen Gu (CHN) win the gold medal for Ski Big Air - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+163.2%+$33.48
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.38per pick51cpaid-74.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.33
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.15
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20.14
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$136.92
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.25
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$13.92
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$27.78
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$90.55
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+41.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.5
Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+131%+$46.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+35.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23.57
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+166.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+166.7%+$43.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+138.3%+$27.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rio Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Vit Koprivabacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+122.6%+$118.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$19.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+74.6%+$38.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$21.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.