Middle East · resolved market
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x184ecbcf5c388c66b03dad2b721e1de8b2bb192c77b91febef18201a28aa37d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $458,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $451,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $458,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 37c | 5,360$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.5 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -10.5wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4586…c4bebacked Yes | 13c | 2,987$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 21c | 2,729$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.66 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +17.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…6b96backed Yes | 10c | 1,774$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 34c | 1,401$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.45 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…5c87backed Yes | 34c | 1,382$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 1,203$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…5a38backed Yes | 8c | 1,156$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cd…9740backed Yes | 8c | 1,069$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…9e76backed Yes | 9c | 1,063$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 28c | 1,023$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.82 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 72c | 986.14$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.63 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cd…d697backed Yes | 8c | 890.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd76a…79acbacked Yes | 9c | 878.89$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595a…bca8backed Yes | 14c | 878.41$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.84 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5d…e0b9backed Yes | 10c | 784.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb31…0b4fbacked Yes | 51c | 743.16$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.53 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e6…8197backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 23c | 669.51$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.77 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 68c | 640.06$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.36 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x932c…2951backed Yes | 47c | 638.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…1973backed Yes | 7c | 609.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf48…d8c6backed Yes | 14c | 599.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…2c8ebacked Yes | 8c | 508.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc21b…31d1backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…6dffbacked Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470f…9732backed Yes | 11c | 471.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 56c | 462.66$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.5 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bb…4a9abacked Yes | 6c | 461.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 52c | 450$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.84 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5396…a135backed Yes | 24c | 450$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 76c | 439.31$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.33 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 72c | 431.11$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.21 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b46…95b2backed Yes | 48c | 417.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -71%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…e1dfbacked Yes | 50c | 404.64$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +229.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 402.32$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.15 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 52c | 391.73$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.98 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc692…dfa6backed Yes | 10c | 383.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71aa…46e6backed Yes | 5c | 370.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e97…be85backed Yes | 50c | 342.96$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 9c | 339.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…5960backed Yes | 59c | 333.33$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.66 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -7.3wins | -0.48per pick | 55cpaid | -91%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 21c | 315$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.48 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa44…3274backed Yes | 51c | 312.82$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce2…5f90backed No | 48c | 275$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.25 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcee…bda5backed Yes | 22c | 267.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…72acbacked Yes | 8c | 253.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…30b5backed No | 74c | 251.92$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…e33abacked No | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…d13ebacked Yes | 22c | 244.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…72b0backed Yes | 21c | 233.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 65c | 223.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 23c | 217.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0768…d1bcbacked Yes | 31c | 208.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c2…561cbacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…c2dabacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab76…9a7fbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9672backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f55…d278backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 18c | 199.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 48c | 196.67$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked Yes | 49c | 192.12$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.14 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6232…f92abacked Yes | 42c | 183.46$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0093…911abacked Yes | 22c | 178.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f96…a226backed Yes | 13c | 176.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed No | 66c | 175.09$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x206d…d652backed Yes | 11c | 174.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 8c | 172.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed Yes | 59c | 172.34$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 65c | 171.18$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked Yes | 25c | 168.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 76c | 150.52$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37b…9b85backed No | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 8c | 140$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d86…e5d1backed Yes | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a1…4b1dbacked Yes | 21c | 125.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 25cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked Yes | 23c | 125$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…cddfbacked No | 67c | 125$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x957c…a8edbacked Yes | 58c | 120.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 113.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes | 14c | 106.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…17b0backed Yes | 42c | 101.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…fafbbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…fcd1backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…ba83backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 20c | 98.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…01cbbacked Yes | 15c | 98.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…1d23backed Yes | 11c | 95.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…2345backed Yes | 44c | 92.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…50c7backed Yes | 54c | 92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf67…f932backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…4408backed Yes | 55c | 90.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…2ff3backed No | 60c | 90.19$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed92…2fd6backed No | 48c | 85.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66d6…50c7backed Yes | 13c | 80.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcae0…9f81backed Yes | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb265…782cbacked No | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?this page
- Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?No won
- Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.