Middle East · resolved market
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fcb3ed7cf5c527ae1fbe73651dceb9addd34a651c7a3e00613dac2855c24674
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 61c | 1,401$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.57 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…5c87backed Yes | 64c | 1,382$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec67…86b9backed No | 11c | 1,334$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 31c | 1,278$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.36 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 22c | 1,247$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.51 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 33c | 1,053$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.21 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…f180backed Yes | 54c | 1,053$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4586…c4bebacked No | 12c | 954.56$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 69c | 859.88$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.87 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked No | 29c | 697.53$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.02 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +17.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 54c | 553.34$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.34 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 33c | 514.58$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.85 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 54c | 512.38$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.64 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 52c | 500$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.31 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 114 | 24.6%28 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 8c | 493.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 14c | 469.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 51c | 449.98$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.49 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +10.4wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +50%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 32c | 438.13$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.13 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 27c | 405.47$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dde…b8f1backed Yes | 45c | 404$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f96…a226backed Yes | 65c | 400.18$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.59 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf141…d9aabacked Yes | 79c | 381.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…2f54backed Yes | 47c | 319.19$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.19 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…d13ebacked No | 22c | 314.21$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.84 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x595a…bca8backed No | 11c | 311.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 50c | 300.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.55 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 7c | 300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc21b…31d1backed No | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…cc96backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 42c | 237.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.81 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 21c | 225$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.75 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 20c | 223.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed No | 46c | 215.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.35 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 71c | 212.8$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…1d88backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…e33abacked Yes | 63c | 200$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…0067backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed Yes | 39c | 172.34$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.13 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 9c | 169.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb31…0b4fbacked Yes | 64c | 155.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed No | 40c | 152.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 70c | 148.09$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 33c | 147.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97d…4d06backed No | 14c | 147$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed No | 13c | 145.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 14c | 144$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 24c | 140.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x407f…d62abacked No | 35c | 133.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…8033backed Yes | 79c | 126.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked No | 24c | 125.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 210 | 34.3%72 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc8…ba9dbacked No | 21c | 123.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf00…0c1abacked No | 18c | 122.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked Yes | 50c | 119.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa03a…e64ebacked No | 24c | 119.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 25cpaid | +199.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked Yes | 71c | 119.01$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 30c | 118.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…602bbacked No | 11c | 105.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 11c | 102.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 200 | 35.5%71 W · 129 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 42c | 101.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…1951backed Yes | 62c | 101.65$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 83 | 6%5 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…fafbbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fde…cbbebacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…3058backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…ba83backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed No | 24c | 99.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…59abbacked Yes | 56c | 89.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 43c | 85.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 17c | 84.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -10.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcae0…9f81backed No | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Yes | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bad…8c4dbacked Yes | 53c | 74.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadda…bbc2backed Yes | 54c | 68.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…1a36backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce4…5f17backed Yes | 48c | 63.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f0…9815backed Yes | 77c | 61.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 79c | 58.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 161 | 73.9%119 W · 42 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f99…1b00backed Yes | 44c | 55.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3470…f3cfbacked Yes | 56c | 53.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c8…7e80backed Yes | 49c | 53.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…9836backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…5e56backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x107c…3ef7backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee5…4b64backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b2…8abdbacked No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…1a9bbacked No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 48c | 49.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8c…e94bbacked Yes | 65c | 48.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae20…bdcfbacked Yes | 48c | 47.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?this page
- Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?No won
- Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.