TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe362…602b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
149
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Tweets, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.75
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$43.62
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.67
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$95.6
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$49.83
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.7
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.92
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.49
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.97
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.55
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.15
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.33
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.9
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33%+$74.5
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$40.5
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$11.75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+263.6%+$145
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.29
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$124.46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.71
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.91
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+29.9%+$17.69
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-52.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$18
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$71.5
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$49.16
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.78
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.7
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$129.5
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$137
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$689Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$688.59
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+79.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$33.78
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$14.75
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$36.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+388.7%+$47.73
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+41.6%+$41.11
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+29.3%+$31.74
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$145.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.25
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$37.2
Will Jessica Killin be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$70.5
Will Daniel Biss be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will La Shawn Ford be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.34
Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.72
Will "The Secret Agent" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+145.9%+$65.72
Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$55.66
Will Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+25%+$10
All 7 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+49.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-71.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2024, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+79.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+146.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+47.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+134.4%+$1,720
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
All 3 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+143.9%+$105.05
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$55.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yankees vs. Red Soxbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$410
White Sox vs. Marinersbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$62
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$46.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddybacked John · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Utah beat Arizona?backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$370.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.