TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Bulls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$340,099
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$362,020

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,099 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 407 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x824c…d2bbbacked Hornets38c60,462$23,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,270.974238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Bulls54c20,618$11,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,075.6965642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Bulls62c20,068$12,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,502.1612663.5%80 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Bulls65c19,885$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,999.5613140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0137…bf9ebacked Hornets44c17,000$7,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,520757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e14…f4dabacked Bulls56c16,987$9,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,512.64742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe991…f3c1backed Bulls0c13,663$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6340%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Hornets37c11,660$4,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,352.1111656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bulls55c7,205$3,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,962.9749849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06db…5244backed Bulls64c7,176$4,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,592.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Bulls32c6,055$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.1761532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets38c5,293$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,257.043,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Bulls46c4,579$2,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,096.0723237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d4…6f09backed Bulls22c4,552$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.793759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe362…602bbacked Hornets36c4,532$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,900.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Hornets39c4,126$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,530.5177745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets62c4,053$2,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.431,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Bulls44c3,995$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.771,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Bulls5c3,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Bulls63c2,866$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,805.7976249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Bulls61c2,750$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.4737954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Hornets40c2,645$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.7737448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Bulls34c2,579$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.7231935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa532…cc03backed Hornets36c2,537$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.56771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Hornets42c2,477$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.7236843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Bulls76c2,474$1,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.7829738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Bulls1c2,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.257502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Bulls50c2,072$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.291,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Bulls4c2,028$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.541,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Bulls62c1,754$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.3673051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3d…f7afbacked Bulls63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefc3…d062backed Hornets37c1,580$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.41070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Bulls63c1,576$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.8847656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5d…7e9ebacked Bulls65c1,538$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick65cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa1f…90c0backed Hornets67c1,496$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Hornets38c1,452$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.431,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71bc…28f4backed Bulls62c1,434$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.973231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Hornets58c1,395$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.7570147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Bulls55c1,376$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7604847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71c0…fd11backed Hornets79c1,326$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.975339.6%21 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Hornets40c1,303$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.9536748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71e9…1248backed Bulls22c1,300$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2807622.4%17 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Hornets26c1,142$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.2326640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf65e…a55abacked Hornets45c1,125$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.254344.2%19 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Hornets37c1,111$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.0924855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b6d…6c66backed Hornets76c1,041$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.883759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63c0…2d68backed Bulls2c1,020$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.61020%2 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-67.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x08a8…adcebacked Bulls60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016341.1%67 W · 96 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Hornets36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.151037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bulls62c990$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.857760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Bulls63c962.8$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.561,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Bulls27c944.04$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.511249.1%55 W · 57 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Bulls26c929.69$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.8538132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb39…ed7abacked Hornets63c895.73$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.032560%15 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dcf…6246backed Hornets38c850$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5271100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9b…e82cbacked Bulls62c850$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae09…fa6dbacked Bulls63c827.15$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.262360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Bulls76c807.71$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.3812752.8%67 W · 60 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Bulls63c792.47$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.9835046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Bulls2c788.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.565502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Hornets25c788.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.0819145.5%87 W · 104 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Bulls64c788.03$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.7685347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bulls62c763.4$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.091,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x906b…fd3cbacked Bulls51c725$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.757450%37 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c5d…ed81backed Bulls61c699.99$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b6b…12e7backed Hornets77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.353548.6%17 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+65.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeabe…043cbacked Hornets37c634.87$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x695d…b925backed Bulls64c633.44$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15c9…e725backed Bulls42c627.98$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.875028%14 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd65…9bc7backed Bulls27c600$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Bulls44c566.39$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.2118632.8%61 W · 125 L-12.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Hornets73c561.01$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.2512752%66 W · 61 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaafb…3027backed Bulls62c560.42$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Bulls4c524.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024423.8%58 W · 186 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Bulls39c514.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.470640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Hornets38c500.8$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.841,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hornets39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30589353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Bulls44c499.99$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2191,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d47…b10cbacked Hornets39c480$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x860d…8e5abacked Bulls62c480$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.660%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Hornets39c476.43$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.2750245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Bulls58c455$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.0535165.2%229 W · 122 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Bulls46c444$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2427739.4%109 W · 168 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Hornets80c437.5$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.512649.2%62 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Bulls62c431.26$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.2770951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Bulls62c430.97$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.850453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa784…c046backed Bulls28c414.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.22532%8 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18a0…e880backed Bulls62c404.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Hornets37c400$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2528442.9%36 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Bulls63c399.92$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.957549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e7…85a1backed Hornets38c387$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.6219556.9%111 W · 84 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Bulls11c372.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4067911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hornets33c369.03$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.761,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Bulls58c362.92$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.8125957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Hornets36c361$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.042560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Hornets36c356.61$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.0926933.5%90 W · 179 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb196…02ccbacked Bulls64c355.1$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.36742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Hornets36c349$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.3619845.5%90 W · 108 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Hornets76c346.67$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4923956.1%134 W · 105 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Hornets31c321.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.3530954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.