NFL · resolved market
Bears vs. Rams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x272f7df2f13caf5ace7d4f17dd137cd44b496487aa8540dd7620ec520baa0b26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bearsof Bears, Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Rams | 40c | 14,591$5,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,804.14 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bears | 60c | 11,586$6,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,645.26 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Bears | 60c | 9,791$5,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,917.92 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Rams | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…b2f4backed Bears | 60c | 3,950$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.07 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Rams | 42c | 3,907$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.26 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Bears | 53c | 3,758$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.55 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Rams | 29c | 3,126$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.94 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b94…ce9dbacked Rams | 41c | 2,644$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Bears | 61c | 2,247$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.52 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34e…895ebacked Rams | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Rams | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Rams | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Bears | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.94 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…3826backed Rams | 40c | 1,989$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…aee3backed Rams | 57c | 1,358$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.66 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Rams | 25c | 1,204$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.91 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…3b04backed Rams | 42c | 1,071$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ca…9f7abacked Bears | 59c | 1,009$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…e793backed Rams | 42c | 1,001$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Rams | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3757backed Bears | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…602bbacked Bears | 61c | 722$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d50…a4c1backed Rams | 41c | 717.65$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbab1…0256backed Bears | 59c | 501.61$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1eb…7afebacked Bears | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Bears | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8259…bd18backed Rams | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…abd2backed Rams | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rams | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Bears | 51c | 478.33$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.33 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Bears | 67c | 445.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.62 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…dd7abacked Bears | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Rams | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38b4…8719backed Bears | 60c | 348.33$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Rams | 41c | 333$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.53 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…57e5backed Bears | 75c | 312.13$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.03 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f20…e9fcbacked Rams | 35c | 310.09$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6d…f52abacked Rams | 42c | 302.38$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c3…d812backed Rams | 37c | 299.24$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.72 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce4…4db9backed Rams | 42c | 296$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56dc…f02bbacked Rams | 40c | 294.48$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Bears | 73c | 280$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cd…238dbacked Bears | 60c | 279.48$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.79 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…dbbfbacked Bears | 68c | 279.41$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcd…8c5dbacked Rams | 41c | 260$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe3…46d1backed Bears | 59c | 260$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…5d7fbacked Bears | 58c | 259.98$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…a28abacked Bears | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Bears | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef8c…996bbacked Bears | 61c | 247.54$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…5710backed Rams | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…0aeebacked Rams | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…5e00backed Rams | 40c | 225$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Bears | 59c | 200$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Bears | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed Rams | 40c | 199.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2b…8fa0backed Rams | 55c | 183.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Bears | 80c | 178.78$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b8…471ebacked Rams | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a74…d69ebacked Rams | 41c | 170$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb1…36f3backed Bears | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Bears | 60c | 167$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…79c6backed Rams | 41c | 151.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rams | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…58f4backed Rams | 39c | 147.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Rams | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb436…4cd3backed Bears | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…fa88backed Rams | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…df58backed Rams | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…27e7backed Rams | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…ebb0backed Rams | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…fdaabacked Rams | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Bears | 61c | 119$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…1392backed Rams | 41c | 104.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccac…ab7dbacked Rams | 41c | 102.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rams | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Rams | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…0d32backed Rams | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…0d88backed Rams | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…a741backed Rams | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rams | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Rams | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Bears | 59c | 99.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e5…5405backed Bears | 60c | 99.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3d…be89backed Bears | 60c | 99.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38f…4705backed Bears | 60c | 99.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1822…79babacked Bears | 60c | 99.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9d…e642backed Bears | 60c | 99.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb776…0b62backed Bears | 60c | 99.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa155…5403backed Bears | 60c | 99.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…9210backed Bears | 60c | 99.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8dc…6f40backed Bears | 60c | 99.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ec…313bbacked Bears | 60c | 99.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b9…3df5backed Bears | 60c | 99.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6eb…4c8bbacked Bears | 60c | 99.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…4652backed Rams | 42c | 98.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5458…8664backed Rams | 41c | 98.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5029…3f02backed Rams | 41c | 98.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdf…5c2cbacked Rams | 41c | 98.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.