TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0fb1…36f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: F1, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 54 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2024, EST3450%17 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Titans vs. Chargersbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$280.8
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$75.31
Browns vs. Eaglesbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Christian McCaffrey play Week 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT+25.3%+$51
Buccaneers vs. Falconsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.67
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$55
KC vs. LAC: Will there be 40 or more combined points scored?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Raiders vs. Brownsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
NYJ vs. DEN: Will there be 40 or more combined points scored?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Texans vs. Jaguarsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+37%+$36.99
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
ATL vs. NO: Will there be 42 or more combined points scored?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Bears vs. Ramsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
GB vs. MIN: Will there be 44 or more combined points scored?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
IND vs. PIT: Will there be 41 or more combined points scored?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
CAR vs. CIN: Will there be 48 or more combined points scored?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Cowboys beat the Giants by 6 or more points?backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$90
Giants vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Bengals vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2024, EDT+131.6%+$105.26
Falcons vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2024, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Browns vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT+244.8%+$61.21
Saints vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Shannon Sharpe fired from ESPN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-64.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.16
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+203%+$48.73
Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$275.27
Another Israeli military action against Iran before the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$31.65
Another Iran strike on Israel in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$793Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$792.88
Will Israel strike Iran on Sunday Oct 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$101.36
Will Israel strike Iran on Wednesday Oct 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.48
Will Israel strike Iran on Tuesday Oct 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$76
Will Israel strike Iran on Monday or earlier?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$26
Will Israel strike Iran on Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$118.92
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will Israel strike Iran on Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$23.82
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$209.81
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+142.4%+$222.19
Israel military response against Iran today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$51
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
Iran military response before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$45
Israeli forces enter Lebanon before November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT+30.8%+$15.39
All 19 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST140%0 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$104.23
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$21.25
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$29.77
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$19.28
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$65.08
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$21.56
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$28.32
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21.98
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20.5
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$27.65
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$65.69
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$56.7
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$134.31
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-70.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canada federal election in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Trudeau out in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Álvaro Delgado win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$269.46
James Cleverly next Conservative party leader?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$47.86
Will NDP win the most seats in the 2024 Saskatchewan general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$131.78
Will SK win the most seats in the 2024 Saskatchewan general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$25.32
Will the Conservatives win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$836Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$836.47
Will PC win the most in the 2024 New Brunswick general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+36.3%+$60.13
Will the Liberal party win the most seats in the 2024 New Brunswick general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+61.1%+$193.96
Will Ranil Wickremesinghe win the Sri Lankan presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$54.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-75.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will the government shutdown end November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$85.49
Will Mike Pompeo be a member of the Trump administration? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$120.36
Will Trump nominate John Paulson for Treasury Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$74.08
Will Trump nominate Doug Burgum for Energy Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$400
Will Trump nominate Christopher Miller for Defense Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$48.94
Will Trump nominate Ric Grenell for Secretary of State?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$208.87
Will Trump nominate Mike Waltz for Secretary of State?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$15.67
Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$33.5
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$263.99
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2024, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-69.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2024, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+58.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2024, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. 76ersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Jazz vs. Bucksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$182.29
Warriors vs. Celticsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+258.5%+$499.82
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+525%+$105
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WNBA: Lynx vs. Sun Series Game 1backed Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT+177.8%+$44.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Harrison vs. Vieirabacked Harrison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$35.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Speed sign deal to fight Jake Paul this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST-100%-$31.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MLB: Dodgers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.