TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Falcons vs. Saints

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Falconsof Falcons, Saints
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,560
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,633

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,560 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e80…59e8backed Saints44c20,594$9,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,050.042937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Falcons56c17,306$9,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,696.6536246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6356…1885backed Saints41c8,640$3,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,567.516350.8%32 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2214…5968backed Falcons57c8,022$4,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,449.663844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Saints45c7,675$3,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,453.7925137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Saints43c7,471$3,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,231.7612051.7%62 W · 58 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Falcons55c7,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,16039754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Saints45c6,587$2,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,945.4716036.3%58 W · 102 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Falcons61c6,000$3,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,340.754551.1%23 W · 22 L+9.9wins+0.22per pick29cpaid+235.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xc8c8…7407backed Falcons58c5,400$3,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2721560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Saints45c5,035$2,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,265.095433.3%18 W · 36 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Saints34c4,326$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.1314457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Falcons54c4,152$2,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917.5234349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Saints44c4,030$1,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.9513942.4%59 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Falcons61c3,729$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.8622638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Saints39c2,555$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.455038%19 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b94…ce9dbacked Saints44c2,463$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.771020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb866…36d4backed Saints44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.993336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed Saints41c2,055$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.859754.6%53 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8c…abbabacked Falcons55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9007153.5%38 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Falcons56c1,789$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.0144246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5e…3826backed Saints45c1,779$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-61.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c37…cbb0backed Saints31c1,714$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.52425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+36.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1af…f6c1backed Saints47c1,666$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a5…ff77backed Falcons55c1,665$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2800…2081backed Saints43c1,395$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bb4…a9bdbacked Falcons79c1,309$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.862454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Saints44c1,000$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.7530446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Saints43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43020440.7%83 W · 121 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Saints43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43011346.9%53 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79a1…5801backed Saints43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43010768.2%73 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x899c…d868backed Falcons57c917.12$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd244…f24cbacked Falcons58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.076237.1%23 W · 39 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Falcons56c847.84$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.0524738.1%94 W · 153 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30f…a161backed Saints44c668.34$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.0730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6538…ae3dbacked Saints48c570.12$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick39cpaid-78.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Saints45c520.59$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.4932438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Saints42c515$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.73748.6%18 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+6.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6da6…f69cbacked Falcons59c508.63$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.633100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc9c…d5c5backed Falcons59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.472254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x944a…a9adbacked Saints43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152737%10 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…f8efbacked Falcons58c465.44$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cf…190cbacked Saints42c465.44$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4840%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Saints44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013040%52 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd94…0b01backed Falcons57c450$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.516139.1%63 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09bb…f8b1backed Falcons72c418.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.233161.3%19 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb620…dd7abacked Saints44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1762347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8398…047fbacked Saints44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1763622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x861c…628ebacked Saints47c355.71$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.18520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89f2…0659backed Falcons58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1265550.9%28 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe51d…429cbacked Saints44c297.73$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9693…07c3backed Saints43c286.05$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12311949.6%59 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Saints50c261$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.6333328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38b4…8719backed Falcons57c245.61$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Falcons58c238$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9619864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1130…f920backed Falcons57c235.09$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.095457.4%31 W · 23 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3489…7fffbacked Saints44c234.55$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ea…ba4abacked Saints43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeca…9826backed Saints43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…0aeebacked Saints45c220.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Saints46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021454.7%117 W · 97 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4df…7f8ebacked Falcons58c198.28$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.28944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Saints35c195$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6852828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Falcons56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.29946.5%46 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbae4…c085backed Saints42c171.41$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2513428.4%38 W · 96 L+0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef4…6c83backed Saints44c165$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.69358.1%54 W · 39 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcea2…afafbacked Saints44c161.36$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bd7…c1f3backed Saints43c149.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.510052%52 W · 48 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Falcons39c142.94$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3521713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7988…a671backed Saints63c142.86$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-47.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f05…455fbacked Saints41c138.7$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.252835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc465…fcfbbacked Saints44c136.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020758%120 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4844…1392backed Saints44c131.82$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Saints43c125$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7529356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0328…d834backed Falcons55c125$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x858a…b00dbacked Saints45c117.63$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53100%0 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xac29…fa88backed Saints43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028659.4%170 W · 116 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ce7…27e7backed Saints44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-42.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xafe1…cf7abacked Saints44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Saints47c107.72$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6320736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Falcons55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458960.7%54 W · 35 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3694…1d72backed Falcons56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444623.9%11 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51b4…c4dbbacked Falcons58c99.14$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb337…13ddbacked Saints43c98.84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x666f…d5d4backed Falcons49c97.46$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.71747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fb1…36f3backed Falcons53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.343450%17 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc970…b063backed Saints63c91$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.33633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-43.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd234…43fcbacked Saints44c79.55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354337.2%16 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Falcons53c75.36$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3610125.7%26 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab3b…f0f2backed Saints33c75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.751650%8 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+49.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49ce…b599backed Saints47c74.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356743.3%29 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed21…2d5dbacked Saints47c74.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc964…8411backed Falcons54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.075362.3%33 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61af…a1b2backed Saints36c68.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254632.6%15 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x450e…4fddbacked Saints44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f81…a786backed Falcons68c66.18$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.183278.1%25 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Falcons59c65$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.823351.9%121 W · 112 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a35…94eebacked Falcons56c64.29$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75d1…b18cbacked Saints43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516645.8%76 W · 90 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd283…ef98backed Falcons54c57.78$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.