TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x666f…d5d4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$28.96
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+100%+$87.21
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$24.4
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+25%+$40
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$45.73
Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$110.3
Will the Tennessee Titans finish with the worst record in the NFL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30.5
Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$33.99
Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+41.2%+$105
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT+95%+$13
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$37.9
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+104.1%+$49.7
Bears vs. Ramsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+78.6%+$40.31
Vikings vs. Texansbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT+138.1%+$20
Vikings vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$84.06
Packers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.96
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2024, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+137%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2025, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-72.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick22cpaid+197.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+360.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ziam vs. Frevolabacked Frevola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$41
O’Malley vs. Dvalishvilibacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+127.3%+$61.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.33
Will Real Madrid beat Atletico Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+61.2%+$16.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United beat Porto?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$82.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.