NFL · resolved market
Vikings vs. Texans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf1b68ea6212c051591e189caee9545d1ce132aa9384f41d5b4116222b94d2b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vikingsof Vikings, Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Vikings | 47c | 10,058$4,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,380.73 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Texans | 54c | 7,034$3,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,801.67 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Texans | 53c | 4,786$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536.52 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Vikings | 73c | 4,089$2,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.02 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Vikings | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Texans | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…36d4backed Vikings | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Vikings | 45c | 2,079$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.31 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Vikings | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Texans | 54c | 1,720$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.59 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Texans | 48c | 1,709$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.53 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Texans | 11c | 1,082$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.52 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Texans | 18c | 1,025$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.56 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Texans | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Texans | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Texans | 54c | 1,000$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Texans | 54c | 947.17$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.05 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Vikings | 48c | 850$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Texans | 31c | 810.97$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.05 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…2549backed Texans | 43c | 808.83$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.53 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Vikings | 46c | 804.56$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.69 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0895…8273backed Vikings | 68c | 645.87$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb4…a9bdbacked Texans | 36c | 600$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Vikings | 45c | 504.24$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.33 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Texans | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…0a62backed Vikings | 79c | 499.99$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +46%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Texans | 53c | 444$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.32 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…c3f1backed Texans | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…047fbacked Texans | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2736…3625backed Texans | 42c | 399.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.5 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Vikings | 72c | 360.99$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbe…1d55backed Texans | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Texans | 55c | 341.43$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.08 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Vikings | 66c | 338.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.78 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Vikings | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…dad2backed Vikings | 45c | 318.53$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…aee3backed Texans | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Texans | 10c | 288.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 134 | 28.4%38 W · 96 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Texans | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc9…c69cbacked Texans | 7c | 275.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Texans | 23c | 220.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Vikings | 43c | 213.97$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.04 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Texans | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb43…b10abacked Texans | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Vikings | 61c | 171.82$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.53 | 205 | 57.6%118 W · 87 L | +16.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…dd7abacked Vikings | 47c | 164.26$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.06 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Texans | 53c | 160.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Vikings | 48c | 155$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Texans | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Texans | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Texans | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3959…a574backed Texans | 20c | 123.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…e4b8backed Texans | 37c | 108.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…a49ebacked Vikings | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Texans | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91f…e659backed Vikings | 46c | 101.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…9391backed Texans | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…4236backed Texans | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Vikings | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…2e53backed Texans | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7173…7d75backed Texans | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Vikings | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Texans | 54c | 99.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Texans | 54c | 96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Texans | 54c | 93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Texans | 53c | 93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…fe54backed Texans | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…63d5backed Texans | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xebe1…73f9backed Vikings | 47c | 90.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…ce4abacked Texans | 54c | 90.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Texans | 53c | 88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9479…ba7abacked Texans | 13c | 77.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Vikings | 74c | 75.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…a1debacked Vikings | 47c | 74.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…ff2ebacked Texans | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4adc…7639backed Vikings | 45c | 69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Vikings | 47c | 65.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a4…4e32backed Vikings | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Texans | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 227 | 45.4%103 W · 124 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Texans | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd5…63a1backed Vikings | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 158 | 58.9%93 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Vikings | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Vikings | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49de…4dc5backed Vikings | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…b599backed Texans | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Vikings | 46c | 34.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed Texans | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…d5d4backed Vikings | 42c | 34.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…ee3dbacked Vikings | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc8…16f6backed Vikings | 77c | 30.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff0d…3d76backed Vikings | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8d…3ee3backed Texans | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Texans | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.