TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x660f…ec30

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
359
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST6848.5%33 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.7%+$11.17
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.1
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+35.1%+$13
Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+26.1%+$8.74
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$198.9
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Bills vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+233.3%+$233.33
Chiefs Parlay - Chiefs win, Mahomes 225+ passing yards, Kelce 40+ receiving yardsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Lions vs. Coltsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+34.6%+$34.83
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$164.45
Bengals vs. Chargersbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST-100%-$52
Colts vs. Jetsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+566.7%+$566.66
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Lions vs. Texansbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2024, EST+156.4%+$61
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5565.5%36 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+498.8%+$1,496.41
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$144.29
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$30.94
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$48.61
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$64.1
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$14.62
France to score first vs. Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+39%+$17.18
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$28.11
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$29.94
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$22
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$41.46
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$85.41
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$28.33
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$15.46
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$13.89
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$27.09
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$27.75
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$45.45
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$24.64
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4748.9%23 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$102.46
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$29.26
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15.53
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$11.7
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$14.14
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Metsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$10.29
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.33
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$18.07
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.22
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.04
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$30.28
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.45
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$22.93
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$59.04
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+40%+$19.18
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST3467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+34.4%+$34.41
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.33
Navy vs. Cincinnatibacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+38.9%+$28
Ole Miss vs. Georgia: O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$64.5
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+56.2%+$45
Oklahoma vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100.89
Clemson vs. SMUbacked SMU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Miami (FL) vs. Syracusebacked Syracuse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+489.2%+$581.2
Will Clemson beat Louisville?backed Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$79
Will South Carolina beat Texas A&M?backed Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$59
Will Texas A&M beat LSU?backed LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$33
Will Boise State beat UNLV?backed Boise St · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+47.1%+$48
Will Louisville beat Boston College?backed Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+47.1%+$48
Will LSU beat Arkansas?backed LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+63.9%+$78
Will Indiana beat Nebraska?backed Nebraska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will BYU beat Arizona?backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Penn St. beat USC?backed USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$49
Will Alabama beat South Carolina?backed S. Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$47.19
Will Maryland beat Northwestern?backed Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will Nebraska beat Rutgers?backed Nebraska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Will UNLV beat Syracuse?backed UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$100.5
Will TCU beat Houston?backed Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+88.7%+$47
Will Georgia beat Alabama?backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+108.3%+$52
Will UCF beat Colorado?backed Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT+87.7%+$22.09
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT3351.5%17 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+54.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+460.7%+$148.84
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.16
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.1
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,489.3%+$2,488.66
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$197.33
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$42
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$14.83
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$23.9
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$37.5
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+175.9%+$70.36
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.87
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$38.61
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.35
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 22-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$142.71
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.97
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31%+$155.19
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$185.29
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+54.9%+$93.77
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+56.3%+$78.77
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$245.45
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$146.95
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$335.84
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+161.7%+$502.55
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+33.3%+$53.33
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$155.55
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,067Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+35.1%+$374.74
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$798Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+194.1%+$1,549.21
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,556Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,556.16
Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$824Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$824.47
Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$142.97
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+51.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$729.96
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.92
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$154.27
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$41.92
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+1,090.5%+$1,441.65
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+166%+$641.06
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+230.6%+$371.9
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$110
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+96.8%+$72.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.51
Israel strikes Iranian oil in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$274.08
Israeli forces enter Lebanon before November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT+31.4%+$107.5
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT+53.3%+$260.8
Iran military response by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$583.7
Iran military response by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$480
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$44
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$83.95
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$174.69
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 21 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30.81
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+458.7%+$91.73
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$251.66
Will Trump say "Big Balls" or "Coristine" during the DC Crime Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.73
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+99.5%+$521.14
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$170.4
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick for Treasury Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$378.05
Will Trump nominate Bill Hagerty for Treasury Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$229.26
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+64.4%+$130.25
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-52.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$22.48
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+105%+$157.47
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$230.02
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.99
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.07
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,337Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+87%+$1,163.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2024, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 300 or more times October 18-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT+33.5%+$62.76
Will Elon tweet 200-224 October 11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Will Elon tweet 300 or more times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$107.79
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$799Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2024, EDT+25.1%+$200.73
Trump posts 40 or more times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$42.94
Will Elon tweet 260-279 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$193.13
Will Elon tweet 180 or more times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2024, EDT+72.5%+$630.62
Trump posts 40 or more times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$383.23
Trump posts 50-99 times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$662.84
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick58cpaid+39%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-48.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+42.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2024, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick70cpaid-66.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$64.29
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$280
Will Jake Paul knockout Mike Tyson?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+61.3%+$79.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$161.5
Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+156.4%+$61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35%+$52.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Lightningbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$54.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.