Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 16-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95130ef9678a9f82dfd261e02bb5d4df65a0b64f7b3b1e159d541686d2f98e84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $358,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $355,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $358,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 7c | 19,010$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.98 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcaf…a241backed Yes | 1c | 17,329$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 35c | 14,176$4,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,959.41 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…e203backed No | 79c | 9,522$7,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.87 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 5c | 8,939$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 8,886$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes | 4c | 8,500$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 18c | 8,319$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.78 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…d932backed Yes | 42c | 6,036$2,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.96 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…2ca3backed Yes | 5c | 3,366$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…1ebebacked Yes | 39c | 2,576$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 36c | 2,562$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.58 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x328c…cbbcbacked Yes | 40c | 2,536$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.05 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 20c | 2,505$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.1 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…b8f8backed Yes | 1c | 2,302$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe784…e664backed Yes | 31c | 2,000$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.5 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…5b23backed No | 71c | 1,900$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…22d8backed No | 77c | 1,723$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.13 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc747…324bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,659$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +12.3wins | +0.19per pick | 4cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1962…e1f0backed Yes | 35c | 1,586$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed No | 52c | 1,348$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.88 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…0414backed Yes | 40c | 1,324$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.97 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd1…099ebacked Yes | 38c | 1,308$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.78 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…17b2backed Yes | 44c | 1,301$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.24 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 6c | 1,301$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 1,269$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…8993backed Yes | 3c | 1,252$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…3ce1backed Yes | 4c | 1,198$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 9.5%13 W · 124 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 79c | 1,130$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.09 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…8ac4backed Yes | 58c | 1,079$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.48 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…6b6ebacked Yes | 39c | 1,033$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 11c | 975.93$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.71 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb33…2dcebacked Yes | 30c | 900$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e1…431dbacked Yes | 18c | 854.95$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.95 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9204…7bd5backed Yes | 39c | 792.29$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.96 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 13c | 711.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked No | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfd…1e89backed Yes | 7c | 694.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 5c | 676.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 20c | 600$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.89 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 4c | 540$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 5c | 536.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…4594backed Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…d490backed Yes | 3c | 460.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 15c | 431.02$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 3c | 427.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 4c | 414.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 35c | 400$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 30c | 399.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 32c | 350$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.86 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Yes | 59c | 340.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…ddfbbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3684…a503backed Yes | 31c | 320$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes | 31c | 319.35$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Yes | 49c | 313.64$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…e94abacked Yes | 50c | 301.78$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…45e6backed Yes | 27c | 300$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…132bbacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…7a12backed No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…968dbacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 20c | 289.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87b…1a52backed Yes | 15c | 260.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8337…e800backed Yes | 44c | 247.22$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…5692backed Yes | 5c | 241.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0990…f36fbacked Yes | 13c | 232.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 39c | 230$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9316…c00cbacked Yes | 5c | 217.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…9ed0backed No | 64c | 210.26$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.54 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…dc25backed Yes | 50c | 200.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…7933backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae2…2965backed Yes | 26c | 193.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5e…79c7backed Yes | 45c | 188$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 51c | 175$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 11c | 166.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 28c | 165.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9c…c878backed No | 69c | 149.28$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55d…7484backed Yes | 40c | 140$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca47…d6fdbacked Yes | 19c | 136.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aec…7008backed Yes | 24c | 129.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes | 36c | 124.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…57a6backed Yes | 46c | 122.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…7085backed Yes | 23c | 121.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bb…cb45backed No | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eeb…c3d7backed No | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…9776backed Yes | 51c | 118.15$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8a…4c20backed No | 43c | 117.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…891fbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7905…a886backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ff…d3bfbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…24f0backed Yes | 39c | 106.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 44c | 102.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…2ee0backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 29cpaid | +289.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…4b04backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…308bbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 16-22?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 16-22?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 16-22?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 February 16-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.