Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 16-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdba0c26d214120188865f87d0b5da1864fe49c8094b74ff3a5a9f0cfd42c4e7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd86c…0670backed Yes | 54c | 13,713$7,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,307.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…661ebacked No | 46c | 13,259$6,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,099.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 28c | 12,951$3,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650.9 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…8906backed No | 10c | 12,241$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 65c | 11,953$7,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,131.74 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 59c | 9,800$5,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,051.88 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…22d8backed Yes | 75c | 8,722$6,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.14 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…6e7dbacked No | 33c | 8,586$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8c…90c3backed Yes | 67c | 8,363$5,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 7c | 7,620$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.04 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 71c | 7,255$5,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.95 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…5184backed Yes | 56c | 6,280$3,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +181.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…311dbacked No | 44c | 6,191$2,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1470…1cb4backed Yes | 69c | 5,368$3,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83e…0f4bbacked No | 31c | 5,136$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5763…1c22backed Yes | 74c | 4,290$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.04 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…d932backed Yes | 74c | 4,132$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.65 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc88…10eabacked Yes | 56c | 3,223$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 37cpaid | +283.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3e…cc97backed No | 44c | 3,210$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85cd…bf2abacked No | 46c | 3,093$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c9…a644backed Yes | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed No | 36c | 2,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47de…0085backed No | 31c | 2,589$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…96acbacked Yes | 69c | 2,552$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1050…0dd6backed No | 33c | 2,490$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48b…59f1backed Yes | 67c | 2,478$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812d…9786backed Yes | 54c | 2,198$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…2a63backed No | 44c | 2,145$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd72…9dfcbacked Yes | 56c | 2,113$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…a7a9backed No | 46c | 2,036$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ae…6ebfbacked Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…17b2backed Yes | 71c | 1,941$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.56 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b6…acf8backed Yes | 54c | 1,915$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +157.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 60c | 1,748$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.49 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd172…19febacked No | 31c | 1,693$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7f…109fbacked No | 33c | 1,649$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…4eecbacked Yes | 69c | 1,642$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…b84abacked Yes | 67c | 1,638$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…0414backed Yes | 72c | 1,597$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.85 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 23c | 1,448$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.05 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0ff6backed Yes | 56c | 1,315$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +301.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcf…e69ebacked No | 44c | 1,221$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ee…48febacked No | 46c | 1,163$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…6573backed Yes | 72c | 1,100$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b0…3d81backed Yes | 54c | 1,062$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b7…19e6backed No | 31c | 983.87$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e2…106dbacked Yes | 69c | 962.58$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c3…1282backed No | 33c | 933.81$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5892…f672backed Yes | 67c | 928.3$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 46c | 876.82$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.44 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed No | 26c | 763.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328c…cbbcbacked Yes | 57c | 700$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 72c | 700$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…1856backed Yes | 67c | 670$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 12c | 669.36$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.26 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 56c | 659.11$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.82 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked No | 13c | 599.51$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.93 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 73c | 592.44$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.03 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 40c | 529.8$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.87 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…3437backed No | 44c | 522.33$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed No | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.97 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 76c | 488.05$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.44 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes | 56c | 487.89$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 28c | 487.81$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.61 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…6865backed No | 26c | 450$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.1 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…9da4backed No | 31c | 412.85$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…8671backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88df…a457backed Yes | 55c | 380$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 73c | 379.96$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.67 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…a299backed Yes | 56c | 358.8$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa29b…a0b8backed Yes | 49c | 346.94$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.94 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2edb…9ac5backed No | 32c | 312.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…5d23backed Yes | 64c | 310$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…5ab5backed Yes | 69c | 289.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Yes | 54c | 277.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.08 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…086ebacked No | 22c | 251.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…3512backed No | 23c | 228.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4730…cdb1backed No | 24c | 225.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…7a12backed No | 33c | 210$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…132bbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…7cd4backed No | 38c | 193.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ed…fbddbacked No | 33c | 190$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…a756backed No | 24c | 180$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730c…17f8backed No | 33c | 178.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…891fbacked Yes | 57c | 174.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…9accbacked Yes | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c19…ec4ebacked No | 46c | 143.51$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…24f0backed No | 33c | 142.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…e486backed No | 7c | 139.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9d…11b9backed No | 34c | 137.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce42…b9a9backed No | 41c | 136.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…7372backed No | 16c | 131$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…9ed0backed No | 29c | 126.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f20…fdc9backed Yes | 54c | 121.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81e…6258backed No | 32c | 119$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dc…7525backed Yes | 63c | 101.7$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -80%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked Yes | 70c | 100.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 16-22?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 16-22?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 February 16-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.